Wade
  • Wade
  • Veteran Member
8 years ago

Well done nerd. I am amazed anyone would put in this much effort.

I wish someone would convince Teddy that you don't take flyers before the 3rd or 4th round. And the 3rd is kind of pushing it.

Originally Posted by: wpr 



You distinguish between a flyer (e.g. Khyri Thornton) and a reach, Wayne? I have a feeling that he may end up having to reach somewhat only because he can't get a trade partner that allows him to trade up/down for the right value. Especially if he has to stay put at #27 in the first.

To me an acceptable and often unavoidable reach is "up to half a round" for the top 50 picks, "up to 20-30 picks" for the top 100. Reaching more than that would fall into the "flyer" category. So, for example, I considered Mike Neal and Nick Perry reaches for where they were drafted, but'd have put Thornton, Jerel Worthy, Davante Adams all as flyers.

And do not be conformed to this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind, that you may prove what is that good and acceptable and perfect will of God.
Romans 12:2 (NKJV)
beast
8 years ago

we don't (apparently) WANT guys who fit our scheme. Dom loves those 4-3 guys.

Originally Posted by: nerdmann 



Maybe that's because they see the Packers defensive scheme as a 4-2 nickel defense, because that's what they run about 70% of the time as the NFL seem to be getting more and more pass happy and most (or maybe all) teams are running mostly a form of the 4-2 nickel package more than any other package.

UserPostedImage
nerdmann
8 years ago

You distinguish between a flyer (e.g. Khyri Thornton) and a reach, Wayne? I have a feeling that he may end up having to reach somewhat only because he can't get a trade partner that allows him to trade up/down for the right value. Especially if he has to stay put at #27 in the first.

To me an acceptable and often unavoidable reach is "up to half a round" for the top 50 picks, "up to 20-30 picks" for the top 100. Reaching more than that would fall into the "flyer" category. So, for example, I considered Mike Neal and Nick Perry reaches for where they were drafted, but'd have put Thornton, Jerel Worthy, Davante Adams all as flyers.

Originally Posted by: Wade 



If I'm Ted and I'm in a conundrum like that at #27, BAM! Jaylon, baby!
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
8 years ago

You distinguish between a flyer (e.g. Khyri Thornton) and a reach, Wayne? I have a feeling that he may end up having to reach somewhat only because he can't get a trade partner that allows him to trade up/down for the right value. Especially if he has to stay put at #27 in the first.

To me an acceptable and often unavoidable reach is "up to half a round" for the top 50 picks, "up to 20-30 picks" for the top 100. Reaching more than that would fall into the "flyer" category. So, for example, I considered Mike Neal and Nick Perry reaches for where they were drafted, but'd have put Thornton, Jerel Worthy, Davante Adams all as flyers.

Originally Posted by: Wade 



No a flyer and a reach are the same thing to me and I don't want to waste the first two rounds for sure and really the 3rd round too. Many of the busts GB has had occurred when Teddy tried to force the issue.

I understand outside the first 3-5 players taken, you will never draft a player exactly at the position value they are listed at. I also understand that the value that is attributed by the so called experts will differ, somethings a lot, from the value a specific team assigns to a player. But I can not see why a team, in the first round, would take a player that is rated 15-16 slots lower unless they are chasing a specific position and we know Teddy doesn't do that. He always takes TBPA. *wink wink*
UserPostedImage
beast
8 years ago

You distinguish between a flyer (e.g. Khyri Thornton) and a reach, Wayne?

Originally Posted by: Wade 


No a flyer and a reach are the same thing to me

Originally Posted by: wpr 



I think often times flyer and reach are meant as the same thing, but I've also seen a few people use them differently.

The distinguish those people used was that a flyer is more of a term for a risky boom or bust type player with the player having a possibility of living up to or exceed where they were drafted but also could easily become a bust, and so it was more about taking a chance (or flyer) on their upside potential to possibly give you that return value. While reach was a term for a player you felt more certain about what they were going to deliver, and it might be good, but just not as good as one would normally expect with that level of a draft pick.


UserPostedImage
wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
8 years ago

I think often times flyer and reach are meant as the same thing, but I've also seen a few people use them differently.

The distinguish those people used was that a flyer is more of a term for a risky boom or bust type player with the player having a possibility of living up to or exceed where they were drafted but also could easily become a bust, and so it was more about taking a chance (or flyer) on their upside potential to possibly give you that return value. While reach was a term for a player you felt more certain about what they were going to deliver, and it might be good, but just not as good as one would normally expect with that level of a draft pick.

Originally Posted by: beast 



I understand what you are saying but why would anyone "reach" for a player unless they thought they could exceed their anticipated slot? Thus a "flyer" too. At least for me. I don't mind it if people want to distinguish between the two. They have that right.
UserPostedImage
beast
8 years ago

I understand what you are saying but why would anyone "reach" for a player unless they thought they could exceed their anticipated slot? Thus a "flyer" too. At least for me. I don't mind it if people want to distinguish between the two. They have that right.

Originally Posted by: wpr 



Normally it's a 3rd party who thinks the pick was a reach, such as some fans thought selecting Randall at 30 overall least year was a reach, while the Packers might disagree.

Personally I think drafting kickers/punters before the 4th round have been some of the biggest reaches in NFL history, but those that made the decisions might disagree.


But some of the reasons teams have reach for a pick

[list]
  • Because the team don't think it's a reach

  • Because the team has a very large need at that position
  • (happens a lot with the QB position)

  • Because the team really wants a certain player and doesn't think they'll make it to their next pick
  • (especially if you don't have a pick in the next round)

  • Because the GM might not know how to evaluate players
  • (often the case when Owners or Money Market GMs are running the show)

  • Can't find a decent trade back, and don't think any player is worth the selection
  • (Seahawks GM John Schneider, said they only rated 16 players in the 2015 draft as worthy of a first round pick and therefore their were going to be 16 reaches in the 2015 first round and that's why they traded their first round pick before the draft).
    [/list]
    UserPostedImage
    DarkaneRules
    8 years ago
    I'm always excited when we pick because I like being surprised about new players I've never heard of hopefully making a name for themselves in the NFL. Randall was amazing last year for a rookie. I was just in awe. He made mistakes here and there but you wouldn't see him make the same mistake twice.
    Circular Arguments: They are a heck of an annoyance
    Yerko
    8 years ago

    I'm always excited when we pick because I like being surprised about new players I've never heard of hopefully making a name for themselves in the NFL. Randall was amazing last year for a rookie. I was just in awe. He made mistakes here and there but you wouldn't see him make the same mistake twice.

    Originally Posted by: DarkaneRules 



    I remember being both shocked and disturbed by last years draft when Ted went back to back with the cornerback picks AND selected two guys that I either didn't know much about (Randall) or who I thought was more like a 3rd round pick (Rollins).

    Now I sit back and enjoy both these players wearing the Packers uniform and the Rollins pick is much better to me because my brother (a Bears fan) wanted Chicago to take him badly. Anytime Rollins makes a play, I let him know.

    Nerd- thanks for the big board. A lot of good players coming out of this draft. I wouldn't be upset at all if the Packers went with Jaylon at #27. Unless there is a player who magically dropped to 27, why not?

    Exciting to think about him playing for the Packers.
    UserPostedImage
    steveishere
    8 years ago

    I remember being both shocked and disturbed by last years draft when Ted went back to back with the cornerback picks AND selected two guys that I either didn't know much about (Randall) or who I thought was more like a 3rd round pick (Rollins).

    Now I sit back and enjoy both these players wearing the Packers uniform and the Rollins pick is much better to me because my brother (a Bears fan) wanted Chicago to take him badly. Anytime Rollins makes a play, I let him know.

    Nerd- thanks for the big board. A lot of good players coming out of this draft. I wouldn't be upset at all if the Packers went with Jaylon at #27. Unless there is a player who magically dropped to 27, why not?

    Exciting to think about him playing for the Packers.

    Originally Posted by: Yerko 



    The draft threads from last year for those to specifically are some fun reading lol.
    Fan Shout
    beast (17-May) : Not sure why a players views reflect on GB... instead of simply on the player
    Martha Careful (17-May) : I bet some of us have had 6+ mRNA jabs, a UKR flag on our walls, and still think Fauci has a thread of integrity
    Zero2Cool (16-May) : From what I've read, it's all Jets , not us.
    CanPackFan (16-May) : Will there ever be a time when Rodgers' whacko views will not reflect on GB? He is the past, thank god.
    Zero2Cool (16-May) : Jan 4th gonna be rough with that start time lol
    Zero2Cool (16-May) : Packers schedule listed. Boom.
    buckeyepackfan (15-May) : Let the leaks begin. Colts @ Packers week 2, Vikings @ Packers week 4
    Zero2Cool (14-May) : WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling to Bills
    Zero2Cool (14-May) : Jets and Aaron Rodgers open up on Monday Night Football,
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : $170 guaranteed. This might impact Jordan Love
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : Lions are signing QB Jared Goff to a four-year, $212 million extension
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : I know we moved on. That tidbit just makes me a touch happier.
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : Sources spoke of many, many times last summer where Hackett called a play, then Rodgers changed it completely at the line
    Martha Careful (10-May) : 1. this is true of all our linemen. 2. His run block is fine. 3. If all OL played like he has, we would win SB.
    beast (10-May) : Meyers pass blocking is really good, his run blocking is really not.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : Packers have claimed DE Spencer Waege off of waivers from the 49ers and waived DT Rodney Mathews.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : And the OL protections seem to be good.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : I really don't know lol. I don't see him getting blown up.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : -3 buwahhhahaaha
    Mucky Tundra (9-May) : 4th
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : because he's 1st
    Mucky Tundra (9-May) : Myers isn't even the 3rd best C on the roster atm
    Martha Careful (9-May) : I am not sure I understand the Myers hate. He was consistently our third best lineman. RG and LT were worse.
    beast (9-May) : Just saying I don't think moving Myers would help Myers.
    beast (9-May) : Center is usually considered the easiest position physically if you can handle the snap stuff.
    Mucky Tundra (8-May) : Bust it is then
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Context. Sounds like Myers won't be cross-trained. C or bust.
    Mucky Tundra (8-May) : @BookOfEli_NFL Packers pass game coordinator, Jason Vrable said that Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks shared a placed in Florida while train
    Mucky Tundra (8-May) : For now...
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Packers go about evaluating their "best five," OL coach Luke Butkus makes on thing clear: "Josh Myers is our center."
    beast (8-May) : Though I'm a bit surprised letting go of CBs, I thought we needed more not less
    beast (8-May) : It was confusing with two DB Anthony Johnson anyways
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Packers actually had Ray Lewis on the phone.
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Packers wanted to draft Ray Lewis. Ravens stole him.
    Martha Careful (6-May) : Happy 93rd Birthday to the Greatest Baseball Player of All-Time...Willie Mays
    Zero2Cool (6-May) : Walter Stanely's son
    buckeyepackfan (6-May) : and released CB Anthony Johnson and DL Deandre Johnson and waived/injured WR Thyrick Pitts (thigh-rick).
    buckeyepackfan (6-May) : The Green Bay Packers have signed WR Julian Hicks, OL Lecitus Smith (luh-SEET-us) and WR Dimitri Stanley
    Zero2Cool (6-May) : Petty, but it's annoying me how the NFL is making the schedule release an event.
    Mucky Tundra (4-May) : @mattschneidman Matt LaFleur on how he tore his pec: “Got in a fight with the bench press. I lost.”
    Zero2Cool (3-May) : Jordan Love CAN sign an extension as of today. Might tak weeks/months though
    TheKanataThrilla (3-May) : Packers decline 5th year option for Stokes
    Mucky Tundra (3-May) : @ProFootballTalk Jaylen Warren: Steelers' special teams coach has discussed Justin Fields returning kicks.
    Zero2Cool (2-May) : Season officially ending tonight for Bucks ... sad face
    Zero2Cool (2-May) : Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as out for tonight's game.
    dfosterf (2-May) : Surprisingly low initially is my guess cap wise, but gonna pay the piper after that
    dfosterf (2-May) : The number on Love is going to be brutal.
    Zero2Cool (2-May) : May 3rd. Extension day for Jordan Love. (soonest)
    Zero2Cool (1-May) : USFL MVP QB Alex McGough moved to WR. So that's why no WR drafted!
    earthquake (1-May) : Packers draft starters at safety ever few years. Collins, Clinton-Dix, Savage
    Please sign in to use Fan Shout
    2024 Packers Schedule
    Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM
    Eagles
    Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM
    COLTS
    Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM
    Titans
    Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM
    VIKINGS
    Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM
    Rams
    Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM
    CARDINALS
    Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM
    TEXANS
    Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM
    Jaguars
    Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM
    LIONS
    Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM
    Bears
    Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM
    49ERS
    Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM
    DOLPHINS
    Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM
    Lions
    Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM
    Seahawks
    Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM
    SAINTS
    Sunday, Dec 29 @ 12:00 PM
    Vikings
    Saturday, Jan 4 @ 11:00 PM
    BEARS
    Recent Topics
    4h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

    16h / Green Bay Packers Talk / greengold

    17h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

    15-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

    13-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / dhazer

    13-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

    12-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

    11-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

    10-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

    10-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

    9-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

    7-May / Packers Draft Threads / Mucky Tundra

    7-May / Packers Draft Threads / Mucky Tundra

    5-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / greengold

    5-May / Packers Draft Threads / wpr

    Headlines
    Copyright © 2006 - 2024 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.