Zero2Cool
6 years ago

Hell yes if you can get Sammy Watkins for 1-2mil a year then sign him.
I'm betting Sammy would be looking for another agent real quick.😁

The point is everyone is trying to give reasons for letting Jordy go.

I say that would be THE BIGGEST mistake Gutekunst could do.

You don't dump your Qb's favorite receiver to save a few million dollars.

Contracts these days are all about the guaranteed money.

Jordy, Randall, Clay and the rest fully know when they sign there's a good chance they will be restructuring by the final year.

Every receiver on The Packer roster learns to play every wr position.

That's why it takes awhile for the young guys to break into the lineup.

What is the chance that a guy like Watkins could come to Green Bay and step right in?

Jordy may have lost a step, (everyone does), his value on the field and in the lockeroom is much more important.

Extend Jordy for 3 years, convert the 12mil owed to a signing bonus.
Put his base salary at 1mil a year.
Add bonus incentives.

Now you are looking at having Jordy Nelson for the next 4 years at 4mil a year (cap hit)plus any bonus money achieved.
That is very doable.

Cobb is in same situation.
Both seem to be pretty intelligent guys.
The will get there 12mil signing bonus up front.
Pretty sure they could invest that money and make up for any lost revenue the next 3 years.

The first item on the agenda, IMHO, is to get an extension done with Aaron so they know just how much they have to spend.





Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan 


Everyone trying to get rid of Nelson? Umm, no, not everyone. I said keep him. Others said keep him. Stop the generalizing hyperbolic crap. I'll kick you in the tooth!!! 😉

UserPostedImage
Rockmolder
6 years ago

Really? What are the obvious stats that show Nelson is in a decline while having a half decent QB throwing to him...

Originally Posted by: beast 



The averages with Rodgers on the field were down quite a bit, as well. I think I mentioned that in an earlier post.

Still, with that not-half decent QB under center, we did throw for more than 1.800 yards. Nelson caught just 224 of those yards (and I'm including that first Minnesota game fully).

That might say something about Rodgers' familiarity inflating Nelson's stats. Davante caught balls for 543 yards in that stretch with Hundley, with Cobb netting 351 yards. For a young guy, who hasn't built a repetoire with any receiver, you'd think he'd like to go to the main man in Nelson. That's generally what young and back-up QBs do.

And this is not a common problem. When Brady went down, Cassel kept on targeting Welker and Moss. When Big Ben went down, Vick and Jones targeted Antonio Brown for just about half of their total yards that season.

Nelson best season was 2014 where he played 16 games, got 98 catches for 1,519 yards... which is an average of 6.125 catches per game and 94.9375 yards per game.

In 2015, Nelson had an ACL injury which is said to normally take more than a full year to recover from... and so Nelson started 2016 off slow as he was still recovering and knocking off the rust.

In the last 10 games of 2016, Nelson got 70 catches for 936 yards... which is an average of 7 catches for 93.6 yards per game... a whopping 1.3375 yards less per game than his career best.



That's certainly impressive. Didn't say a thing about him never being a good player. When the 2018 season starts, though, that's two seasons ago.

Now in 2017... suddenly Nelson gets knocked out of the Falcons game, the whole offenses struggles against the Seahawks, Bengals and Vikings... and suddenly Nelson is done because Hundley can't get him the ball?



Didn't Nelson go out on the first possesion after catching zero passes? Don't know how you put offensive struggles on Nelson there.

I also never said the offense would be better off with a guy like Allison at WR instead of Nelson. It's just that there's better receivers out there for the money he's getting at his age. I really want to make it clear that I don't hate Nelson as a player at all. He was pretty darn good in his prime. It's just that both on the eye test and looking at his statistics he's lost a step. And that won't get any better, looking at both his age and the averages for wide receivers. Combine that with the fact that we're paying both him and Cobb roughly the same as Julio Jones and T.Y. Hilton and it just looks to me that this isn't a very good situation to be in, let alone extending him.
Rockmolder
6 years ago

Hell yes if you can get Sammy Watkins for 1-2mil a year then sign him.
I'm betting Sammy would be looking for another agent real quick.😁

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan 



I agree that $2 mil is probably on the low side. That said, I think he'll get a 1-year prove it deal for around $5-6 million. That's still a lot less than Nelson for a potentially deadly weapon on the outside. He's a guy who's had injury issues and just didn't get up to speed in that Rams offense, so I can't imagine him getting more than that.



The point is everyone is trying to give reasons for letting Jordy go.

I say that would be THE BIGGEST mistake Gutekunst could do.

You don't dump your Qb's favorite receiver to save a few million dollars.



You do if they're not performing up to their contract. I can't imagine Gutekunst having the balls to cut both Nelson and Cobb, though.

Contracts these days are all about the guaranteed money.

Jordy, Randall, Clay and the rest fully know when they sign there's a good chance they will be restructuring by the final year.

Every receiver on The Packer roster learns to play every wr position.

That's why it takes awhile for the young guys to break into the lineup.

What is the chance that a guy like Watkins could come to Green Bay and step right in?



There's rookie QBs playing left and right who have to know every route, timing and playbook by heart and call the plays on the field. I'd hope a wide receiver could get up to speed during the off-season and pre-season. I've never seen a free agent wide receiver who sat out the first few games or only ran fly routes for his new team. I can imagine familiarity and practice makes perfect, but it'd be crazy if we'd have to give every receiver a year to get accustomed to our offense.

Jordy may have lost a step, (everyone does), his value on the field and in the lockeroom is much more important.

Extend Jordy for 3 years, convert the 12mil owed to a signing bonus.
Put his base salary at 1mil a year.
Add bonus incentives.

Now you are looking at having Jordy Nelson for the next 4 years at 4mil a year (cap hit)plus any bonus money achieved.
That is very doable.



So you agree that he's declining and losing a step, but you want to extend him by 3 years for veteran leadership and familiarity alone? The Patriots go to the Super Bowl every 3rd year with Brady and Bill being the only consistent parts there.

I agree that veteran influence has its place in a locker room and on the field. Just look at Charles Woodson. Thing is, we let Woodson go when he was nearly done. That was a painful move from a fan's perspective, but in hindsight, it was the right move to make.



Cobb is in same situation.
Both seem to be pretty intelligent guys.
The will get there 12mil signing bonus up front.
Pretty sure they could invest that money and make up for any lost revenue the next 3 years.

The first item on the agenda, IMHO, is to get an extension done with Aaron so they know just how much they have to spend.



At least we do agree on that point. Getting Burnett back and signing Rodgers to an extention might be our nr. 1 priorities right now.

KRK
  • KRK
  • Veteran Member
6 years ago
We have to stop creating straw arguments.
I think everyone would like to have Jordy around next year, but not at the current price. The only questions are how much and for how long.
I feel the same way about Randall Cobb.

The is there is simply too much money tied up in the position relative to the level of talent on the field....especially with other glaring needs.

Notwithstanding the foregoing, I still believe Mike McCarthy need to do blend in more picks, rubs, crossing patterns et. al., more "schemeing" to get all of our receivers open.
In Luce tua Videmus Lucem KRK
isocleas2
6 years ago
When I was in Green Bay for the holidays the rumour was Jordy was considering retiring. I think the Packers work out a deal with him and he plays a couple more years but I think both sides realize there's something wrong here. Age/injuries catch everyone eventually there's no shame in it, but the Packers would be smart to invest in another young talent to replace Nelson/Cobb in the near future.
Users browsing this topic
    Fan Shout
    Zero2Cool (9h) : WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling to Bills
    Zero2Cool (9h) : Jets and Aaron Rodgers open up on Monday Night Football,
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : $170 guaranteed. This might impact Jordan Love
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : Lions are signing QB Jared Goff to a four-year, $212 million extension
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : I know we moved on. That tidbit just makes me a touch happier.
    Zero2Cool (13-May) : Sources spoke of many, many times last summer where Hackett called a play, then Rodgers changed it completely at the line
    Martha Careful (10-May) : 1. this is true of all our linemen. 2. His run block is fine. 3. If all OL played like he has, we would win SB.
    beast (10-May) : Meyers pass blocking is really good, his run blocking is really not.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : Packers have claimed DE Spencer Waege off of waivers from the 49ers and waived DT Rodney Mathews.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : And the OL protections seem to be good.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : I really don't know lol. I don't see him getting blown up.
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : -3 buwahhhahaaha
    Mucky Tundra (9-May) : 4th
    Zero2Cool (9-May) : because he's 1st
    Mucky Tundra (9-May) : Myers isn't even the 3rd best C on the roster atm
    Martha Careful (9-May) : I am not sure I understand the Myers hate. He was consistently our third best lineman. RG and LT were worse.
    beast (9-May) : Just saying I don't think moving Myers would help Myers.
    beast (9-May) : Center is usually considered the easiest position physically if you can handle the snap stuff.
    Mucky Tundra (8-May) : Bust it is then
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Context. Sounds like Myers won't be cross-trained. C or bust.
    Mucky Tundra (8-May) : @BookOfEli_NFL Packers pass game coordinator, Jason Vrable said that Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks shared a placed in Florida while train
    Mucky Tundra (8-May) : For now...
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Packers go about evaluating their "best five," OL coach Luke Butkus makes on thing clear: "Josh Myers is our center."
    beast (8-May) : Though I'm a bit surprised letting go of CBs, I thought we needed more not less
    beast (8-May) : It was confusing with two DB Anthony Johnson anyways
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Packers actually had Ray Lewis on the phone.
    Zero2Cool (8-May) : Packers wanted to draft Ray Lewis. Ravens stole him.
    Martha Careful (6-May) : Happy 93rd Birthday to the Greatest Baseball Player of All-Time...Willie Mays
    Zero2Cool (6-May) : Walter Stanely's son
    buckeyepackfan (6-May) : and released CB Anthony Johnson and DL Deandre Johnson and waived/injured WR Thyrick Pitts (thigh-rick).
    buckeyepackfan (6-May) : The Green Bay Packers have signed WR Julian Hicks, OL Lecitus Smith (luh-SEET-us) and WR Dimitri Stanley
    Zero2Cool (6-May) : Petty, but it's annoying me how the NFL is making the schedule release an event.
    Mucky Tundra (4-May) : @mattschneidman Matt LaFleur on how he tore his pec: “Got in a fight with the bench press. I lost.”
    Zero2Cool (3-May) : Jordan Love CAN sign an extension as of today. Might tak weeks/months though
    TheKanataThrilla (3-May) : Packers decline 5th year option for Stokes
    Mucky Tundra (3-May) : @ProFootballTalk Jaylen Warren: Steelers' special teams coach has discussed Justin Fields returning kicks.
    Zero2Cool (2-May) : Season officially ending tonight for Bucks ... sad face
    Zero2Cool (2-May) : Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as out for tonight's game.
    dfosterf (2-May) : Surprisingly low initially is my guess cap wise, but gonna pay the piper after that
    dfosterf (2-May) : The number on Love is going to be brutal.
    Zero2Cool (2-May) : May 3rd. Extension day for Jordan Love. (soonest)
    Zero2Cool (1-May) : USFL MVP QB Alex McGough moved to WR. So that's why no WR drafted!
    earthquake (1-May) : Packers draft starters at safety ever few years. Collins, Clinton-Dix, Savage
    beast (1-May) : Why can't the rookies be a day 1 starter? Especially when we grabbed 3 of them at the position
    dfosterf (1-May) : Not going to be shocked if Gilmore goes to the Lions.
    dfosterf (1-May) : I hear you dhazer, but my guess would be Gilmore Colts and Howard Vikings from what little has been reported.
    Mucky Tundra (30-Apr) : S learn from McKinney who learns from Hafley who learns from the fans. Guaranteed Super Bowl
    Zero2Cool (30-Apr) : could*
    Zero2Cool (29-Apr) : Safeties should learn from Xavier.
    dhazer (29-Apr) : And what about grabbing a Gilmore or Howard at CB ? Those are all Free Agents left
    Please sign in to use Fan Shout
    2024 Packers Schedule
    Recent Topics
    4h / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle
    Who are 2024 Top 5 Best Packers

    23h / Green Bay Packers Talk / dhazer
    Packers need to bring this kid in

    13-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool
    Jaire Alexander DOES Want to be Here

    12-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful
    Devante Adams calling out announcers

    11-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
    Safe to Say Packers Will Be Better on Defense

    10-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
    Wwwwway too early 2025 Mock Draft

    10-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr
    How much stock have you put into post-draft grades over the years?

    9-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful
    Ray Lewis was 1 pick away from being a Green Bay Packer

    7-May / Packers Draft Threads / Mucky Tundra
    4th Round (111th Overall) S Evan Williams

    7-May / Packers Draft Threads / Mucky Tundra
    3rd Round (91st Overall) LB Ty'Ron Hopper

    5-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / greengold
    Packers UDFAs 2024

    5-May / Packers Draft Threads / wpr
    7th Round (255th Overall) CB Kalen King

    5-May / Packers Draft Threads / wpr
    7th Round (245th overall) QB Michael Pratt

    5-May / Packers Draft Threads / wpr
    6th Round (202nd Overall) OT Travis Glover

    5-May / Packers Draft Threads / beast
    5th Round (163rd Overall) C Jacob Monk

    Headlines