wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member Topic Starter
11 years ago

Injuries and unexpected absences are a fact of life in the NFL , and few teams around the league have had to deal with the quantity of serious injuries that the Packers have faced over the past few years. However, a well-run organization has the coaches to adapt to changing personnel and the depth of said personnel to step in for absent players and perform. Luckily, the Packers have done both successfully recently, winning the Super Bowl two years ago despite a multitude of injuries and earning the NFC North crown this year.

Because Green Bay played the San Francisco 49ers in week one of this year, a logical conclusion is that both teams have changed significantly between that game and the Divisional Round of the playoffs. But just how much of that change is actually significant in terms of personnel? Devin touched on the Packers' changing identity earlier, but I'll examine the actual roster changes that will make this week's game so very different from the one in Lambeau in early September. We'll also compare the number of changes on the Packers' roster to that of the 49ers to see if any interesting observations can be found.

The first table we'll see is the breakdown of players that were on each team's roster in week 1 who are not there now (and how they were removed from the roster), and the players who are taking their roster spots now:

Packers -
On Week 1 Roster

Benson, Cedric RB (IR)
Bulaga, Bryan T (IR)
Merling, Philip DE (waived)
Perry, Nick LB (IR)
Richardson, Sean S (IR)
Ross, Brandian CB (waived)
Saine, Brandon RB (IR)
Smith, D.J. LB (IR)

Divisional
Grant, Ryan RB
Harris, DuJuan RB
Miller, Jordan DT
Neal, Mike DE
Ross, Jeremy WR
Van Roten, Greg, OL
Walden, Erik LB
Zombo, Frank LB

49ers -
On Week 1 Roster

Dobbs, DeMarcus TE (IR)
Hunter, Kendall RB (IR)
Jacobs, Brandon RB (waived)
Williams, Kyle WR (IR)

Divisional
Cundiff, Billy K
Hampton, Jewel RB
Jerod-Eddie, Tony DT
Johnson, Cam LB
Wilhoite, Michael LB


When looking at the Packers' week one roster, I had almost totally forgotten that Neal and Walden were sitting out on suspension - Neal's for four games for substance abuse and Walden's a one-game suspension for personal conduct. The list is longer for the Packers, to be sure, with eight Packers no longer on the roster to five 49ers, but it doesn't really display the full effect and impact of those injuries like the following table does. Here we have the Packers' starters who have changed from the game in week 1 to those projected for this week:

Position............Week 1 Starter... Projected Starter
Running Back.....Cedric Benson.... DuJuan Harris
Center..............Jeff Saturday.... Evan Dietrich-Smith
Right Tackle.....Bryan Bulaga..... Don Barclay
Left Outside LB..Nick Perry ...... Erik Walden
Inside LB..........D.J. Smith ...... Brad Jones
Cornerback.......Jarrett Bush..... Sam Shields

Two of those changes were made due to poor play (center and corner), but the other four were due to season-ending injuries. As for the 49ers, there is only one entry on a similar table: at quarterback, Alex Smith will sit in favor of Colin Kaepernick. It's a major change at the most important position on the field, but it demonstrates that the Packers have dealt with several more injuries to starters and key players than the 49ers.

Do you need another example of this? Let's look at a breakdown of how many players have started a certain number of games for each team in 2012 (regular season games only, as recorded by Pro Football Reference):


Games Started...Packers ....49ers
1+ ...............42 ...............29
5+ ...............31 ...............25
10+ .............17 ...............20
16 ............... 7 ................17

This might be the most staggering indication of how many players have been in and out of the Packers' lineup this year. By my count, the Packers had the most players start this season of any playoff team (Indianapolis was next with 41, then New England and Baltimore at 40), while the 49ers had the fewest (Denver was second-fewest with 32). Then notice as the games started goes up, the trends switch, with the 49ers having all but five positions on offense and defense started by the same person each game.

Having this many players start would naturally be undesirable, but it has allowed the Packers to develop some young players in ways that they could not in practice alone. Casey Hayward, for example, is no longer a starter, but he was in the starting lineup for several games while Sam Shields was out and appears to be a favorite for the Defensive Rookie of the Year award. With Woodson and Matthews out for stretches, the defense went through some growing pains but held together and got some young players like Jerron McMillian and Dezman Moses valuable experience.

When looking at the rosters, these two teams are verry different from their week one identities, but for very different reasons. The Packers went through a lot of injuries and adversity, but emerged with a deeper team that has been getting key players back on the field in the past few weeks. Meanwhile, the 49ers have a different identity on offense because of a change at quarterback, but remain relatively similar otherwise. Saturday night will determine if these changes affect the results on the field.



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TheKanataThrilla (8h) : GoPackGo Thinking CB is the pick tonight
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Zero2Cool (9h) : whoa...49ers have had trade conversations about both Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk
Zero2Cool (9h) : I hope they take a Punter at 9th overall. Be bold!
Mucky Tundra (10h) : I may end up eating those words but I think they need a lot more talent then their 4 picks can provide
Mucky Tundra (10h) : I really hope they stand pat and Draft a WR
Mucky Tundra (10h) : @DMRussini
Mucky Tundra (10h) : The Chicago Bears are very open for business at 9 and telling teams they are ready to move for the right price, per source
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : Lions extend Penei Soul 4yrs - 112mil
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : Lions extend St. Brown 4 years 120mil and
Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : Now look, trading up to 13 to take a TE might not seem like a good idea later but it will be later!
dfosterf (24-Apr) : (Your trade up mock post)
dfosterf (24-Apr) : Mucky- The only thing fun to watch would be me flipping the f out if Gute goes up to 13 and grabs Brock Bowers, lol
beast (24-Apr) : DT Byron Murphy II, Texas... whom some believe is the next Aaron Donald (or the closest thing to Donald)
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : What? And who?
Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : *sad Mucky noises*
Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : @JoeJHoyt Murphy said he’s been told he won’t slide past pick No. 16.
wpr (23-Apr) : Just about time to watch Sonny Weaver stick it to the seahags. I never get tired of it.
Martha Careful (23-Apr) : *game plan
Martha Careful (23-Apr) : IMHO, not even close. He is not a guy you game play around.
Mucky Tundra (23-Apr) : is Aiyuk worth a 1st rounder?
Zero2Cool (23-Apr) : 49ers are seeking a 1st round pick in exchange for WR Brandon Aiyuk
Mucky Tundra (22-Apr) : Based on Gutes comments, now I don't feel as silly having 13 picks in my mock the other day
Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Zach Wilson to Broncos.
Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Gutekunst says he'd love to have 13 or 14 picks. He's trading back huh lol
beast (22-Apr) : Someday we'll have a draft betting scandal
beast (21-Apr) : Sometimes looking extremely amazing, sometimes looking extremely lost
beast (21-Apr) : I haven't looked into the QBs, but some have suggested Maye has some of the most extremely inconsistent tape they've seen
beast (21-Apr) : Well it also sounds like Patriots are listening to trade offers, not that seriously considering any, but listening means they aren't locked
Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : Maye needs to be AFC
Mucky Tundra (21-Apr) : Not liking the idea of the Vikings getting Maye
Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : Vikings HC joked that he may or may not have sent flowers to Bob Kraft. That's where rumor came from.
beast (21-Apr) : Can't tell if this is real or BS, but some rumors about a possible Patriots/Vikings trade for #3 overall
dfosterf (21-Apr) : One playbook to my knowledge. I was shooting for facetious.
beast (20-Apr) : I'm not sure they have different playbooks for different OL positions, and Dillard run blocking is supposedly worse than his pass blocking..
dfosterf (19-Apr) : The only problem with that is he isn't a guard either.
dfosterf (19-Apr) : Put him at right guard. That is where he will be coached. That is where he will compete. He is not even allowed to look at the LT playbook.
dfosterf (18-Apr) : Kidding aside, I hope the best for him.
dfosterf (18-Apr) : Went to a Titans board. One comment there. Not very long. I quote: "LOL" They don't sound overly upset about our aquisition.
beast (18-Apr) : OT Dillard has been absolutely horrible... like OG Newman levels
dfosterf (18-Apr) : Suit him up and have him stand in front of the big board as a draft day cautionary tale.
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