2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

10 years ago

Interesting website.
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfclosemagicnumbers.html

Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated!

Packers Elimination Options for Week 15

Spot #1 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #2 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage
Case 1
Cowboys beat the Packers
Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #5 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #6 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Magic Numbers for WINNING
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcwinmagicnumbers.html

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nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

I still wanna win.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

PackFanWithTwins
Veteran Member

10 years ago

Spot #5 - Wildcard
Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed.

Spot #6 - Wildcard
Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed.

The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.

The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

This is the biggest test we'll face.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

luigis
Member

10 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Luis

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Originally Posted by: luigis

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance.

Offense, Defense and Special Teams.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nyrpack
Veteran Member

10 years ago

only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!

jimmy b.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#10

IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2

AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3

WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO!

just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross."

FUCK YES

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dfosterf (9h) : Kidding aside, I hope the best for him.

dfosterf (9h) : Went to a Titans board. One comment there. Not very long. I quote: "LOL" They don't sound overly upset about our aquisition.

beast (10h) : OT Dillard has been absolutely horrible... like OG Newman levels

dfosterf (10h) : Suit him up and have him stand in front of the big board as a draft day cautionary tale.

Zero2Cool (11h) : Packers sign T Andre Dillard.

Mucky Tundra (18-Apr) : Adds most of the information this time of year comes from agents.

Mucky Tundra (18-Apr) : @RealAlexBarth Bill Belichick says accurate draft information doesn't leak from teams until about 12 hours before the draft. Adds most of th

Mucky Tundra (18-Apr) : I am very happy that for moment, Jordan Love seems like a normal human being

Zero2Cool (17-Apr) : Belichick * whatever

Zero2Cool (17-Apr) : "There's a lot of depth at Offensive Tackle and Wide Receiver." Bill Bellichick

Zero2Cool (17-Apr) : Thanks! I can't believe it's over haha

Martha Careful (16-Apr) : Congratulations

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Boom. Student Loan. $0.00. Only took about 20 years.

Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : Packers DT Kenny Clark: New defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley will 'allow us to be way more disruptive'

Zero2Cool (12-Apr) : Saints have agreed to terms on a contract with former Packers wide receiver Equanimeous St. Brown.

beast (12-Apr) : No, but of it's for legislation, then half of the country will find it evil, not good, whatever it says....

Mucky Tundra (12-Apr) : Draft is still 2 weeks away. UGH

dhazer (11-Apr) : Does anyone know of a good AI generator to create letters of Support for legislation?

Zero2Cool (11-Apr) : Gordon "Red" Batty retires as equipment manager

Zero2Cool (10-Apr) : Sounds like that's pretty certain now.

Zero2Cool (10-Apr) : Packers "at" Eagles in Brazil. Week One

dfosterf (10-Apr) : Va' Fazer As Malas Va' !

Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Mark Murphy tipping us off?

Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : “We’re either the first- or second-most popular team in Brazil.”

Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Christian Watson got married. Wife better be careful with those hamstrings!! 😂😂

dfosterf (9-Apr) : Those poor bastards

Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Falcons have signed former Packers CB Kevin King, who has been out of football since 2021.

dfosterf (8-Apr) : Collectively, we need to spend more time in what we have, when analyzing ostendible needs and historical proclivities

dfosterf (8-Apr) : I say he is better than so many of these draft picks

dfosterf (8-Apr) : Question of the week for me: Has anyone besides me done any deep dive into the potential of Alex McGough, our 3rd string qb?

Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Or in Tunsil's case, something gets released day of draft or day before lol

Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Seems every year someone does something pre-draft.

dfosterf (8-Apr) : Falling down drunk. The draft board

dfosterf (8-Apr) : Allright! Potential character guy/f#×k up pickup in D'Vondre Sweat!

Zero2Cool (7-Apr) : Go Badgers!!!

Martha Careful (6-Apr) : Go Boilermakers!!!

Martha Careful (5-Apr) : Diggs has not stepped up in the playoffs and has a high cost

beast (5-Apr) : Probably not going to let Diggs walk away unless he's horrible... but according to reports he also might not be as good as he used to be.

beast (5-Apr) : The 25th pick in the draft has been an offensive player since 2017, 2 TE, 2 WR, 1 RB, 1 OC

Mucky Tundra (5-Apr) : Odd, why give up a 2025 2nd Rounder for him if you're just gonna let him walk?

Zero2Cool (4-Apr) : Texans to let Diggs be free agent in '25

buckeyepackfan (4-Apr) : 49r's aign RB Patrick Taylor.

Martha Careful (4-Apr) : Reversion to the mean would indicate we will keep it

Zero2Cool (4-Apr) : It's also been utilized in a trade in 14 of the past 20 years

Zero2Cool (4-Apr) : The 25th pick in the draft hasn't been made by it's original holder since 2016.

Mucky Tundra (4-Apr) : Gotta imagine that Green Bay vs Houston will be a primetime game this upcoming season

Zero2Cool (3-Apr) : No. Kill QB. No worries. 😁

Mucky Tundra (3-Apr) : Diggs, Collins, Dell and Schultz is gonna be tough to cover

Zero2Cool (3-Apr) : Stefon Diggs' trade will not be processed as a post-June 1 designation, so that is just over $31 million in dead cap this year.

Zero2Cool (3-Apr) : Bills trading WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans in exchange for a 2025 2nd-round pick. (via @rapsheet)

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2023 Packers Schedule

Sunday, Sep 10 @ 3:25 PM

Bears

38 - 20

Sunday, Sep 17 @ 12:00 PM

Falcons

24 - 25

Sunday, Sep 24 @ 12:00 PM

SAINTS

18 - 17

Thursday, Sep 28 @ 7:15 PM

LIONS

20 - 34

Monday, Oct 9 @ 7:15 PM

Raiders

13 - 17

Sunday, Oct 22 @ 3:25 PM

Broncos

17 - 19

Sunday, Oct 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

10 - 24

Sunday, Nov 5 @ 12:00 PM

RAMS

20 - 3

Sunday, Nov 12 @ 12:00 PM

Steelers

19 - 23

Sunday, Nov 19 @ 12:00 PM

CHARGERS

23 - 20

Thursday, Nov 23 @ 11:30 AM

Lions

29 - 22

Sunday, Dec 3 @ 7:20 PM

CHIEFS

27 - 19

Monday, Dec 11 @ 7:15 PM

Giants

22 - 24

Sunday, Dec 17 @ 12:00 PM

BUCCANEERS

20 - 34

Sunday, Dec 24 @ 12:00 PM

Panthers

33 - 30

Sunday, Dec 31 @ 7:20 PM

Vikings

33 - 10

Sunday, Jan 7 @ 3:25 PM

BEARS

17 - 9

Sunday, Jan 14 @ 3:30 PM

Cowboys

48 - 32

Saturday, Jan 20 @ 7:15 PM

49ers

21 - 24