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Online Zero2Cool  
#1 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 6:58:49 AM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

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Interesting website.
http://www.playoffstatus...nfclosemagicnumbers.html

Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated!


Packers Elimination Options for Week 15

Spot #1 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #2 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage
Case 1
Cowboys beat the Packers
Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #5 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #6 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot



Magic Numbers for WINNING
http://www.playoffstatus.../nfcwinmagicnumbers.html
"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla

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Offline nerdmann  
#2 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 11:24:22 AM(UTC)
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I still wanna win.
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
Offline PackFanWithTwins  
#3 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 1:36:07 PM(UTC)
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Spot #5 - Wildcard
Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed.

Spot #6 - Wildcard
Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed.

The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.
The world needs ditch diggers to Danny!!!
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DoddPower on 12/12/2013(UTC)
Offline buckeyepackfan  
#4 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 1:45:38 PM(UTC)
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I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine


Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

Message modified by user Wednesday, December 11, 2013 2:18:14 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Enjoy the ride – It kicks and just keeps on kickin’. "Stats are for Losers"
thanks Post received 1 applause.
flep on 12/12/2013(UTC)
Offline nerdmann  
#5 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 2:23:13 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan Go to Quoted Post
I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine


Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.


This is the biggest test we'll face.
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
Offline luigis  
#6 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 5:48:18 PM(UTC)
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http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%
Luis
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nerdmann on 12/11/2013(UTC)
Offline nerdmann  
#7 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 8:30:28 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: luigis Go to Quoted Post
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%


It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
Offline buckeyepackfan  
#8 Posted : Thursday, December 12, 2013 8:36:23 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: nerdmann Go to Quoted Post
It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?


No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance.

Offense, Defense and Special Teams.



Enjoy the ride – It kicks and just keeps on kickin’. "Stats are for Losers"
Offline nyrpack  
#9 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 5:55:23 AM(UTC)
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only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!
jimmy b.
Offline gbguy20  
#10 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 6:34:28 PM(UTC)
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IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2

AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3

WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO!

just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross."

FUCK YES
call me Dan
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nerdmann on 12/15/2013(UTC)
Online Zero2Cool  
#11 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 6:38:17 PM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

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http://profootballtalk.n...-cowboys-37-36/#comments

threedeep1998 says:Dec 15, 2013 8:22 PM
Unfortunately this is perfectly scripted for a Packers divisional win and SB run. Gross.

lol
"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla

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Offline gbguy20  
#12 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 6:42:41 PM(UTC)
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ur quick. poor vikings fan
call me Dan
Online Zero2Cool  
#13 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 7:36:30 AM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

Rank: Legend

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Packers Elimination Options for Week 16

Spot #1 - First Round Bye - no chance
Spot #2 - First Round Bye - no chance
Spot #5 - Wildcard - no chance
Spot #6 - Wildcard - no chance


Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

  1. Steelers beat the Packers



Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
  1. Steelers beat the Packers, and
    Bears beat the Eagles

  2. Steelers beat the Packers, and
    Lions beat the Ravens, and
    Lions beat the Giants
"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla

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Offline earthquake  
#14 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 10:13:33 PM(UTC)
earthquake

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So now that Detroit has lost, GB wins the division if they win the next two games, correct?
blank
Offline mi_keys  
#15 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 10:26:25 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: earthquake Go to Quoted Post
So now that Detroit has lost, GB wins the division if they win the next two games, correct?


Yes, we control our fate.
Born and bred a cheesehead
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earthquake on 12/16/2013(UTC)
Offline cheeseheads123  
#16 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 10:48:18 PM(UTC)
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1. Seattle
2. Carolina
3. Packers
4. Cowboys
5. Saints
6. Cardinals


Make it happen NFL
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Offline El3ment12  
#17 Posted : Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:15:43 AM(UTC)
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With the way things have been going .. it wouldn't surprise me if the pack win next week along with a lions and bears loss.
Offline GermanGilbert  
#18 Posted : Tuesday, December 17, 2013 2:24:23 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: El3ment12 Go to Quoted Post
With the way things have been going .. it wouldn't surprise me if the pack win next week along with a lions and bears loss.


If the Packers win next week it doesn't matter what the Lions and Bears do. If they lose a Bears AND Lions loss would be sweet though ;)

blank
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El3ment12 on 12/17/2013(UTC)
Offline Dulak  
#19 Posted : Tuesday, December 17, 2013 8:01:44 AM(UTC)
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Wow just watched the packers/cowgirls game last nite ... and now the ravens/lions game
2 both really good games ... was rooting hard for those ravens - and they pulled it off.

steelers at home and the bears in their house ... anyone remember our SB run? ... the bears stood in our way and went down ... thats what christmas memories are for ... me going home and the bears losing to the pack.
thanks Post received 1 applause.
buckeyepackfan on 12/17/2013(UTC)
Online Zero2Cool  
#20 Posted : Wednesday, December 18, 2013 4:34:24 PM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

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Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles



Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions



Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints


Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers


CRAZY...
"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla

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RaiderPride on 12/18/2013(UTC)
Offline sschind  
#21 Posted : Wednesday, December 18, 2013 8:03:42 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool Go to Quoted Post
Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles



Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions



Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints


Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers


CRAZY...


Sounds good to me, write it up and I'll take it.

I respect your right to have your opinion but that doesn't mean I agree with it or respect you for having it.
Offline StoicFire  
#22 Posted : Wednesday, December 18, 2013 8:05:43 PM(UTC)
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It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
Offline buckeyepackfan  
#23 Posted : Wednesday, December 18, 2013 8:47:52 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: StoicFire Go to Quoted Post
It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%


Wasn't Packers chances before last week games single digits?
Something like 5.7%?

Getting better with every win!!

Where's Yancy Thigpen when you need him? Laugh

Message modified by user Wednesday, December 18, 2013 9:39:39 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Enjoy the ride – It kicks and just keeps on kickin’. "Stats are for Losers"
Online Zero2Cool  
#24 Posted : Monday, December 23, 2013 9:28:29 AM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

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Seed 4 is the only position the Packers can get.


Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Packers beat the Bears
"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla

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Offline macbob  
#25 Posted : Monday, December 23, 2013 10:48:50 AM(UTC)
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Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need Aaron Rodgers back by that first round of playoffs.
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