play2win
10 years ago
Hey, I just thought it might be kind of cool to post our collective resources for gathering info on this upcoming Packers draft.

While this is not specific to GB, I wanted to share this particular link, as it shows a pretty remarkable success rate in finding 5 year starters at 3 of our greatest positions of need, Safety, Inside Linebacker and Tight End.

Draft Probabilities by Position
https://sports.yahoo.com/news/draft-probabilities-position-160112669--nfl.html 

I just found that information really interesting, and I know we all have our own links we reference to gather info as we get closer to the draft. Thought his might be a good time to pool some of that stuff together.

Here is a good listing/ranking of the top 300 players:
http://www.gbnreport.com/top100.html 

Here is another with the top 256:
http://www.draftcountdown.com/Rankings/TOP.php 

Ourlads does a great positional ranking:
http://www.ourlads.com/ncaa-football-nfl-prospect-rankings-by-position/ 

Another from Draft Insider top 150 and positional:
http://www.draftinsider.net/rankings 

Rotoworld has some decent info:
http://www.rotoworld.com/sports/cfb/nfl-draft 

I like Draftek for ease of use in finding players in mocks through all 7 rounds with bios, and they have decent positional rankings:
http://www.drafttek.com/2014-NFL-Mock-Draft-Round1.asp 

All this stuff needs to be taken with a grain of salt, but I like getting as much info as possible, even if some of it is more or less reliable.
joemailman
10 years ago
Anyone who wants to spend way too much time looking at mock drafts can use this database. http://walterfootball.com/draftdata.php 
Mucky Tundra
10 years ago
Draft Trade Chart 

IIRC, this is based off what the Cowboys used under Jimmy Johnson.
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play2win
10 years ago
joe 7 Mucky, I love using both of those in geeking out draft scenarios. Walters is pretty good.

Here is another interesting bit of info on projecting success and how it correlates to draft slot, #, round:

http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Boom-or-bust-A-look-at-draft-probabilities.html 

We need to keep that 21 pick I think... I want a big impact player added to our O or D if at all possible. A bunch of them would be nice if the draft falls Ted's way.
joemailman
10 years ago

joe 7 Mucky, I love using both of those in geeking out draft scenarios. Walters is pretty good.

Here is another interesting bit of info on projecting success and how it correlates to draft slot, #, round:

http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Boom-or-bust-A-look-at-draft-probabilities.html 

We need to keep that 21 pick I think... I want a big impact player added to our O or D if at all possible. A bunch of them would be nice if the draft falls Ted's way.

Originally Posted by: play2win 



History suggests Ted Thompson will probably garner more than 1 pick in the 47-73 range. He's had 2 picks in 1-13, 3 picks in 14-24, 5 picks in 25-46, and 14 picks in 47-73. Of course, you can get an extra pick in the 47-73 range by trading down in the 1st round or trading up from the 3rd round. Probably no GM has had as good a success in the 47-73 range as Thompson.

1-13: B.J. Raji, A.J. Hawk (2 good players who have probably been a disappointment for that high a pick)

14-24: Aaron Rodgers, Justin Harrell, Bryan Bulaga (1 superstar, 1 bust, and 1 very good player hampered by injury)

25-46: Jordy Nelson, Clay Matthews, Derek Sherrod, Nick Perry, Datone Jones (1 outstanding player, 1 superstar, 3 recent players who have been hampered by injury)

47-73: Terrence Murphy, Nick Collins, Abdul Hodge, Greg Jennings, Daryn Colledge, Brandon Jackson, Pat Lee, Brian Brohm, Morgan Burnett, Mike Neal, Randall Cobb, Casey Hayward, Jerel Worthy, Eddie Lacy (Three Pro Bowl Players, 2 outstanding players (of which 1 hampered by injury), 1 solid players, 2 players hampered by injury, 2 busts, 1 reserve)
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dfosterf (10h) : The only problem with that is he isn't a guard either.
dfosterf (11h) : Put him at right guard. That is where he will be coached. That is where he will compete. He is not even allowed to look at the LT playbook.
dfosterf (18-Apr) : Kidding aside, I hope the best for him.
dfosterf (18-Apr) : Went to a Titans board. One comment there. Not very long. I quote: "LOL" They don't sound overly upset about our aquisition.
beast (18-Apr) : OT Dillard has been absolutely horrible... like OG Newman levels
dfosterf (18-Apr) : Suit him up and have him stand in front of the big board as a draft day cautionary tale.
Zero2Cool (18-Apr) : Packers sign T Andre Dillard.
Mucky Tundra (18-Apr) : Adds most of the information this time of year comes from agents.
Mucky Tundra (18-Apr) : @RealAlexBarth Bill Belichick says accurate draft information doesn't leak from teams until about 12 hours before the draft. Adds most of th
Mucky Tundra (18-Apr) : I am very happy that for moment, Jordan Love seems like a normal human being
Zero2Cool (17-Apr) : Belichick * whatever
Zero2Cool (17-Apr) : "There's a lot of depth at Offensive Tackle and Wide Receiver." Bill Bellichick
Zero2Cool (17-Apr) : Thanks! I can't believe it's over haha
Martha Careful (16-Apr) : Congratulations
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Boom. Student Loan. $0.00. Only took about 20 years.
Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : Packers DT Kenny Clark: New defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley will 'allow us to be way more disruptive'
Zero2Cool (12-Apr) : Saints have agreed to terms on a contract with former Packers wide receiver Equanimeous St. Brown.
beast (12-Apr) : No, but of it's for legislation, then half of the country will find it evil, not good, whatever it says....
Mucky Tundra (12-Apr) : Draft is still 2 weeks away. UGH
dhazer (11-Apr) : Does anyone know of a good AI generator to create letters of Support for legislation?
Zero2Cool (11-Apr) : Gordon "Red" Batty retires as equipment manager
Zero2Cool (10-Apr) : Sounds like that's pretty certain now.
Zero2Cool (10-Apr) : Packers "at" Eagles in Brazil. Week One
dfosterf (10-Apr) : Va' Fazer As Malas Va' !
Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Mark Murphy tipping us off?
Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : “We’re either the first- or second-most popular team in Brazil.”
Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Christian Watson got married. Wife better be careful with those hamstrings!! 😂😂
dfosterf (9-Apr) : Those poor bastards
Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Falcons have signed former Packers CB Kevin King, who has been out of football since 2021.
dfosterf (8-Apr) : Collectively, we need to spend more time in what we have, when analyzing ostendible needs and historical proclivities
dfosterf (8-Apr) : I say he is better than so many of these draft picks
dfosterf (8-Apr) : Question of the week for me: Has anyone besides me done any deep dive into the potential of Alex McGough, our 3rd string qb?
Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Or in Tunsil's case, something gets released day of draft or day before lol
Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Seems every year someone does something pre-draft.
dfosterf (8-Apr) : Falling down drunk. The draft board
dfosterf (8-Apr) : Allright! Potential character guy/f#×k up pickup in D'Vondre Sweat!
Zero2Cool (7-Apr) : Go Badgers!!!
Martha Careful (6-Apr) : Go Boilermakers!!!
Martha Careful (5-Apr) : Diggs has not stepped up in the playoffs and has a high cost
beast (5-Apr) : Probably not going to let Diggs walk away unless he's horrible... but according to reports he also might not be as good as he used to be.
beast (5-Apr) : The 25th pick in the draft has been an offensive player since 2017, 2 TE, 2 WR, 1 RB, 1 OC
Mucky Tundra (5-Apr) : Odd, why give up a 2025 2nd Rounder for him if you're just gonna let him walk?
Zero2Cool (4-Apr) : Texans to let Diggs be free agent in '25
buckeyepackfan (4-Apr) : 49r's aign RB Patrick Taylor.
Martha Careful (4-Apr) : Reversion to the mean would indicate we will keep it
Zero2Cool (4-Apr) : It's also been utilized in a trade in 14 of the past 20 years
Zero2Cool (4-Apr) : The 25th pick in the draft hasn't been made by it's original holder since 2016.
Mucky Tundra (4-Apr) : Gotta imagine that Green Bay vs Houston will be a primetime game this upcoming season
Zero2Cool (3-Apr) : No. Kill QB. No worries. 😁
Mucky Tundra (3-Apr) : Diggs, Collins, Dell and Schultz is gonna be tough to cover
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