2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities

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Zero2Cool		#1 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 6:58:49 AM(UTC)
Rank: Premier Member Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC) Location: Green Bay, WI Applause Given: 2,020 Applause Received: 2,379		Interesting website. http://www.playoffstatus...nfclosemagicnumbers.html Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated! Packers Elimination Options for Week 15 Spot #1 - First Round Bye The Packers cannot win this spot Spot #2 - First Round Bye The Packers cannot win this spot Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage Case 1 Cowboys beat the Packers Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage No elimination cases were found for this spot Spot #5 - Wildcard No elimination cases were found for this spot Spot #6 - Wildcard No elimination cases were found for this spot Magic Numbers for WINNING http://www.playoffstatus.../nfcwinmagicnumbers.html
		"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla
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nerdmann		#2 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 11:24:22 AM(UTC)
Rank: Select Member Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 2,997 Applause Received: 731		I still wanna win.
		“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”


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PackFanWithTwins		#3 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 1:36:07 PM(UTC)
Rank: Veteran Member Joined: 9/26/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 16 Applause Received: 515		Spot #5 - Wildcard Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed. Spot #6 - Wildcard Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed. The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.
		The world needs ditch diggers to Danny!!!

Post received 1 applause.		DoddPower on 12/12/2013(UTC)
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buckeyepackfan		#4 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 1:45:38 PM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC) Location: Lima, Ohio Applause Given: 404 Applause Received: 494		I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more. The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed. All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race. All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game. http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak. The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh. The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears. Message modified by user Wednesday, December 11, 2013 2:18:14 PM(UTC) \| Reason: Not specified
		Enjoy the ride – It kicks and just keeps on kickin’. "Stats are for Losers"

Post received 1 applause.		flep on 12/12/2013(UTC)
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nerdmann		#5 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 2:23:13 PM(UTC)
Rank: Select Member Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 2,997 Applause Received: 731		Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more. The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed. All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race. All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game. http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak. The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh. The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears. This is the biggest test we'll face.
		“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”


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luigis		#6 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 5:48:18 PM(UTC)
Rank: Member Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 105 Applause Received: 110		http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds #1 seed: 0% #2 seed: 0% #3 seed: 1.1% #4 seed: 5.9% #5 seed: 0% #6 seed: 0% Total: 7%
		Luis

Post received 1 applause.		nerdmann on 12/11/2013(UTC)
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nerdmann		#7 Posted : Wednesday, December 11, 2013 8:30:28 PM(UTC)
Rank: Select Member Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 2,997 Applause Received: 731		Originally Posted by: luigis http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds #1 seed: 0% #2 seed: 0% #3 seed: 1.1% #4 seed: 5.9% #5 seed: 0% #6 seed: 0% Total: 7% It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?
		“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”


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buckeyepackfan		#8 Posted : Thursday, December 12, 2013 8:36:23 AM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC) Location: Lima, Ohio Applause Given: 404 Applause Received: 494		Originally Posted by: nerdmann It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run? No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance. Offense, Defense and Special Teams.
		Enjoy the ride – It kicks and just keeps on kickin’. "Stats are for Losers"


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nyrpack		#9 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 5:55:23 AM(UTC)
Rank: Rookie Joined: 9/26/2008(UTC) Location: long island, ny Applause Given: 5 Applause Received: 70		only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!
		jimmy b.


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gbguy20		#10 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 6:34:28 PM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member Joined: 8/28/2009(UTC) Applause Given: 221 Applause Received: 292		IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2 AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3 WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO! just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross." FUCK YES
		call me Dan

Post received 1 applause.		nerdmann on 12/15/2013(UTC)
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Zero2Cool		#11 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 6:38:17 PM(UTC)
Rank: Premier Member Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC) Location: Green Bay, WI Applause Given: 2,020 Applause Received: 2,379		http://profootballtalk.n...-cowboys-37-36/#comments threedeep1998 saysec 15, 2013 8:22 PM Unfortunately this is perfectly scripted for a Packers divisional win and SB run. Gross. lol
		"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla
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gbguy20		#12 Posted : Sunday, December 15, 2013 6:42:41 PM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member Joined: 8/28/2009(UTC) Applause Given: 221 Applause Received: 292		ur quick. poor vikings fan
		call me Dan


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Zero2Cool		#13 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 7:36:30 AM(UTC)
Rank: Premier Member Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC) Location: Green Bay, WI Applause Given: 2,020 Applause Received: 2,379		Packers *Elimination* Options for Week 16 Spot #1 - First Round Bye - no chance Spot #2 - First Round Bye - no chance Spot #5 - Wildcard - no chance Spot #6 - Wildcard - no chance Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage Steelers beat the Packers Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage Steelers beat the Packers, and Bears beat the Eagles Steelers beat the Packers, and Lions beat the Ravens, and Lions beat the Giants
		"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything." - Nikola Tesla
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earthquake		#14 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 10:13:33 PM(UTC)
Rank: Member Joined: 8/11/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 255 Applause Received: 89		So now that Detroit has lost, GB wins the division if they win the next two games, correct?
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mi_keys		#15 Posted : Monday, December 16, 2013 10:26:25 PM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member Joined: 8/8/2008(UTC) Applause Given: 254 Applause Received: 392		Originally Posted by: earthquake So now that Detroit has lost, GB wins the division if they win the next two games, correct? Yes, we control our fate.
		Born and bred a cheesehead

Post received 1 applause.		earthquake on 12/16/2013(UTC)
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