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Offline wpr  
#1 Posted : Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:28:15 PM(UTC)
wpr

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Rob Demovsky said:
When the NFL releases its schedule each April, Green Bay Packers coach Mike McCarthy usually looks first at how many regular seven-day weeks he will have to prepare his team.

He prefers to keep things on a normal schedule. Games on Monday or Thursday nights throw that off.

So McCarthy likely won't be bothered or concerned that his team in 2014 will play the 13th-toughest schedule in the NFL based on opponents' records from last season. The Packers' 2014 opponents had a combined winning percentage of.


It amazes me that people want to look at last season to decide what the strength of schedule is for the up coming season.

Things change. Teams change. Injuries happen. Players improve. Others digress. Draft picks are added tot he roster. Coaching changes and schemes occur. Last year doesn't reflect on what this season will bring.

The 1967 Packers won the Super Bowl. 1968 they didn't even finish .500.
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Offline mi_keys  
#2 Posted : Tuesday, February 11, 2014 4:05:58 PM(UTC)
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wpr said: Go to Quoted Post
It amazes me that people want to look at last season to decide what the strength of schedule is for the up coming season.

Things change. Teams change. Injuries happen. Players improve. Others digress. Draft picks are added tot he roster. Coaching changes and schemes occur. Last year doesn't reflect on what this season will bring.

The 1967 Packers won the Super Bowl. 1968 they didn't even finish .500.


Yeah, it's only one point of reference and without context it can be quite misleading. But it's easy to calculate and spit out with zero thought or effort so that's why we it's used for strength of schedule.
Offline steveishere  
#3 Posted : Tuesday, February 11, 2014 5:49:46 PM(UTC)
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SOS is never really so drastically different across the league that it will have much account for how a teams season went. Good teams usually make the playoffs and bad teams usually don't regardless of individual schedules.
Offline sschind  
#4 Posted : Wednesday, February 12, 2014 11:10:24 AM(UTC)
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One exception for a brutal schedule might just be the Raiders. Not only do they have 2 each against the Broncos, Chargers and Chiefs they also play the NFC west for games against the Seahawks, 49ers, Cardinals and Rams plus a game against the Patriots. Those are all really tough games for them. The remaining teams are the Dolphins, Bills, Jets, Browns and Jags.

The Raiders have my early vote for the #1 pick in 2015. Are there any decent QBs coming out then? Can they afford to pass on one this year and land an impact player somewhere else or trade down and load up?

Offline Yerko  
#5 Posted : Wednesday, February 12, 2014 11:45:57 AM(UTC)
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These SOS rankings are just as important as power rankings the week after the Super Bowl...
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wpr on 2/12/2014(UTC)
Offline wpr  
#6 Posted : Wednesday, February 12, 2014 12:49:33 PM(UTC)
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sschind said: Go to Quoted Post
One exception for a brutal schedule might just be the Raiders. Not only do they have 2 each against the Broncos, Chargers and Chiefs they also play the NFC west for games against the Seahawks, 49ers, Cardinals and Rams plus a game against the Patriots. Those are all really tough games for them. The remaining teams are the Dolphins, Bills, Jets, Browns and Jags.

The Raiders have my early vote for the #1 pick in 2015. Are there any decent QBs coming out then? Can they afford to pass on one this year and land an impact player somewhere else or trade down and load up?



It is funny you should mention the Raiders.

Yesterday I was reading their 2015 projections on Walter's site.

They are expecting Oakland to go first.



Quote:
1. Oakland Raiders: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon

2014 NFL Mock Draft selection: Sammy Watkins, WR

With the Texans, Jaguars and Browns all needing quarterbacks, the Raiders could be out of luck by the time they're on the clock this May. If they can't trade up and refuse to reach on Derek Carr, they may have to wait a year to find a potential franchise quarterback. Luckily for them, the 2015 class is more fruitful at this position.

It's a close call between Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston, but the former has a slight edge right now. With most things being equal, Mariota is clean off the field.
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