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Offline StoicFire  
#1 Posted : Monday, March 24, 2014 6:45:03 PM(UTC)
StoicFire

Rank: 6th Round Draft Pick

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A coworker and I decided to try to predict the first 5 Quarterbacks picked in the draft this year, and the order they are drafted in. We aren't trying to guess the exact picks or teams, just in what order the top 5 QBs fall off the board. I've discovered that this is a pretty overwhelming thing to try to predict (seeing as I have no idea who is targeting who, where), so I thought I'd ask if anybody here has any insights. Any advice?

Or if you just want to guess as well, feel free to list the first 5 QBs you think will be picked.
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
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Offline dhazer  
#2 Posted : Tuesday, March 25, 2014 3:16:24 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: StoicFire Go to Quoted Post
A coworker and I decided to try to predict the first 5 Quarterbacks picked in the draft this year, and the order they are drafted in. We aren't trying to guess the exact picks or teams, just in what order the top 5 QBs fall off the board. I've discovered that this is a pretty overwhelming thing to try to predict (seeing as I have no idea who is targeting who, where), so I thought I'd ask if anybody here has any insights. Any advice?

Or if you just want to guess as well, feel free to list the first 5 QBs you think will be picked.


1) Blake Bortles texans

2) Derek Carr Raiders

3) Johnny Manzel Vikes

4) Teddy Bridgewater Browns

5) McCarron Jags


This I think is about right I think or flip vikes and Browns
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Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be :)
Offline porky88  
#3 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 9:40:19 PM(UTC)
porky88

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I just posted an article on Johnny Manziel.

I would bet on him falling before Bridgewater. I also think Oakland could trade down from No. 5 and target Carr. The Browns could also be after him with their No. 26 pick.

Bortles to Houston seems likely. They sent the farm to watch his pro day. I think Bridgewater fits Minnesota well.
Offline StoicFire  
#4 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 11:15:59 PM(UTC)
StoicFire

Rank: 6th Round Draft Pick

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Location: Bloomington, IN

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Bortles to Houston does seem pretty likely at the moment.

I'm thinking that Manziel will go off the boards next, because someone is going to fall in love with him.

Beyond those two is where it gets really tricky for me. I just cant get a good feel for where Carr, Bridgewater, McCarron, or Garoppolo will fall.
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
Offline porky88  
#5 Posted : Tuesday, April 1, 2014 3:37:19 PM(UTC)
porky88

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My most recent mock draft.

1. Blake Bortles to Houston
2. Johnny Manziel to Jacksonville
3. Teddy Bridgewater to Minnesota
4. Derek Carr to Cleveland

I would go with Jimmy Garoppolo in the second round to maybe Oakland. I could see Oakland trading into the first-round to select Carr and Cleveland trading back into round two to take Garoppolo.
Offline texaspackerbacker  
#6 Posted : Tuesday, April 1, 2014 7:37:36 PM(UTC)
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I can't see Bortles going to Houston; I can't see any QB going to Houston except possibly Manziel, and with the first pick, that doesn't seem likely. I think they use the first pick for something else, and maybe grab one of the QBs with the first pick of the second round.
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Offline porky88  
#7 Posted : Tuesday, April 1, 2014 10:23:58 PM(UTC)
porky88

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Originally Posted by: texaspackerbacker Go to Quoted Post
I can't see Bortles going to Houston; I can't see any QB going to Houston except possibly Manziel, and with the first pick, that doesn't seem likely. I think they use the first pick for something else, and maybe grab one of the QBs with the first pick of the second round.

I think they desperately want to trade down. Bill O'Brien does things by the book. In other words, he's more Bill Parcells than he is Pete Carroll. I think that works against Johnny Manziel. It's going to take somebody who thinks outside the box to take Manziel. O'Brien isn't that guy. He's a traditionalist.
Offline Yerko  
#8 Posted : Wednesday, April 2, 2014 8:50:55 AM(UTC)
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1. Bortles
2. Bridgewater
3. Manziel
4. Garrapolo
5. Carr
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Offline StoicFire  
#9 Posted : Wednesday, April 23, 2014 12:20:14 PM(UTC)
StoicFire

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Location: Bloomington, IN

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As we get closer to Draft Day, I'm having trouble deciding which way to go.
I like the idea of taking an order from before the Combine, Pro-Days, and workouts. Something like this:

1 Blake Bortles
2 Teddy Bridgewater
3 Derek Carr
4 Johnny Manziel
5 Jimmy Garoppolo
Ending the run in the mid-late second round.

On the other hand, I wonder how much the Pro-days and whatnot have influence teams. Who's fallen in love with who?
Manziel on the rise? Bridgewater falling? Oh well, who knows?
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
Offline buckeyepackfan  
#10 Posted : Wednesday, April 23, 2014 3:01:18 PM(UTC)
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1 Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M (TEXANS)
2 Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida (JACKSONVILLE)
3 Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville (BROWNS)
4 Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State (VIKINGS)
5 Tom Savage, QB, Pittsburgh (RAIDERS)

Texans may not keep Manziel, but he will be the 1st QB drafted, if nobody trades up for the rights to Johhny Football then The Texans will have their man.

Bortles to Jacksonville is a good fit.

The Browns continue their never ending quest to draft a franchise QB.

As do The Vikings.

The Raiders take Savage, even though Jimmy Garoppolo and several more qb's are rated ahead of him, because they are the Raiders!!!!

Added Bonus:

The Packers grab David Fales, QB, San Jose State, with their 5th round comp pick.
Enjoy the ride – It kicks and just keeps on kickin’.
Offline StoicFire  
#11 Posted : Thursday, April 24, 2014 11:03:18 AM(UTC)
StoicFire

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Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan Go to Quoted Post
1 Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M (TEXANS)
2 Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida (JACKSONVILLE)
3 Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville (BROWNS)
4 Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State (VIKINGS)
5 Tom Savage, QB, Pittsburgh (RAIDERS)


Very bold. Even though I see 4 QBs going in the first round, I don't see them going in the top few picks. I think Houston will take one, but probably by trading back into the first round after taking Clowney first overall. Or maybe if they find a trade partner in the first 10 picks and trade out of first overall. Still though, get ready to see all of the reaches for QBs.

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
Offline steveishere  
#12 Posted : Thursday, April 24, 2014 12:28:59 PM(UTC)
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Bridgewater
Bortles
Manziel
Carr
Garroppolo

I'm not really buying that Bridgewater's stock is suddenly plummeting because of a weak pro day performance. I guess we'll see.
Offline wpr  
#13 Posted : Thursday, April 24, 2014 12:41:58 PM(UTC)
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Blake Bortles
Derek Carr
Jimmy Garoppolo
Zach Mettenberger
A.J. McCarron

Everyone is going for the same guys more or less so I decided to put Mettenberger in just for the heck of it. I couldn't decide to take Johnny Manziel or Teddy Bridgewater out so I took them both out and stuck in McCarron too. Just to be different.
"You don't hurt 'em if you don't hit 'em." Chesty Puller



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Offline porky88  
#14 Posted : Thursday, April 24, 2014 8:10:00 PM(UTC)
porky88

Rank: Pro Bowl

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My QB Scouting Reports

It's not the order I think they'll go on draft day. It's simply my opinion (as an amateur) about their prospects. I've done every position like that. I intend to write something up for this site and post a Packer oriented version.
thanks Post received 2 applause.
wpr on 4/25/2014(UTC), DoddPower on 4/27/2014(UTC)
Offline uffda udfa  
#15 Posted : Friday, April 25, 2014 4:06:12 PM(UTC)
uffda udfa

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1) Manziel

2) Savage

3) Bortles

4) Carr

5) Murray
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It's one heckuva drug.
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