nerdmann
8 years ago

As you can see, the teams that have beaten the Packers to start recent seasons weren’t exactly unstoppable early-season juggernauts that couldn’t be defeated. Four of the six teams that beat the Packers in the first three weeks of the last three seasons went on to lose their next game.

JerseyAl  wrote:



He's right.

If we say it's ok, because the Packers went on to play better later in the season, then we have to look at how these other teams that ended up also making the playoffs were playiing at the beginning of the year. And they were very beatable.
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
QCHuskerFan
8 years ago
The NFL season is remarkably like a NASCAR race. The first quarter of the race is important, but not critical. The last 1/4 is critical. If you struggle with your set up in the first quarter, you can recover. If you struggle in the last quarter, you probably can't. Nobody gets credit for winning the first 25% of the season. Just like leading a game going into the 4th quarter doesn't matter. It's what happens at the end that matters.

Packers started the game well against the Seahawks. Played a good first half. Led deep into the 4th quarter. So did they go to the Super Bowl? NO. Because the Seahawks made more plays when it mattered. At the end.

Starting well is good. Finishing well is required. Assuming both will happen every year is foolish.

Who was the best team in the first quarter of 2011? The first half of 2011? The first 3/4 of 2011? The Packers. But they weren't the best team in the last quarter and they failed miserably at home in the first round of the playoffs. How much clearer does the evidence need to be that the first part of the year is not going to determine the overall season?
nerdmann
8 years ago

The NFL season is remarkably like a NASCAR race. The first quarter of the race is important, but not critical. The last 1/4 is critical. If you struggle with your set up in the first quarter, you can recover. If you struggle in the last quarter, you probably can't. Nobody gets credit for winning the first 25% of the season. Just like leading a game going into the 4th quarter doesn't matter. It's what happens at the end that matters.

Packers started the game well against the Seahawks. Played a good first half. Led deep into the 4th quarter. So did they go to the Super Bowl? NO. Because the Seahawks made more plays when it mattered. At the end.

Starting well is good. Finishing well is required. Assuming both will happen every year is foolish.

Who was the best team in the first quarter of 2011? The first half of 2011? The first 3/4 of 2011? The Packers. But they weren't the best team in the last quarter and they failed miserably at home in the first round of the playoffs. How much clearer does the evidence need to be that the first part of the year is not going to determine the overall season?

Originally Posted by: QCHuskerFan 



Winning is an all the time thing.
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
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Martha Careful (4-Apr) : Reversion to the mean would indicate we will keep it
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