Green Bay Packers Forum

Welcome to your Green Bay Packers Online Community!

Since 2006, PackersHome has been providing a unique experience for fans.
Your participation is greatly anticipated!
Login or Register.
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline RedSoxExcel  
#1 Posted : Thursday, January 6, 2011 9:36:04 PM(UTC)
Rank: Registered

Joined: 9/30/2007(UTC)
Applause Received: 3
This is not a thread to create some kind of contraversy and have the same old "debate". I thought I'd link to this article for people interested. It's kind of interesting, especially the 40 year old stats stuff but I still think that has a big * because of the numbers QBs put up in this era.

http://sports.yahoo.com/...-favrebythenumbers010511

Hey Zero, look at me, I learned how to use the Quote function for articles...

Quote:
His recent dalliances with retirement drama and sexting controversies may have momentarily blinded us to Brett Favres(notes) on-field football greatness from a historical perspective. As he appears to be finally winding down his career, its worth separating the off-field stuff and focusing on Favres place in NFL history.




Favres records
How the top five players compare in many of Favres career leading categories.



Source: Pro-football-reference.comNo matter what happened in this last misbegotten season, Favre will retire as the all-time NFL leader in pass attempts and completions, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions and sacks. Its a test of endurance weve never seen before from a quarterback, and though Peyton Manning(notes) may threaten some of those records in the next five years, Favre is the only one to spend that much time on the top of the mountain.

As noted baseball statistician Bill James has done with the concepts of peak value and career value over the years, its worth wondering how many times Favre has been the NFLs unquestioned top quarterback on a per-season basis. James originated the idea of similarity scores to find the closest comparisons between baseball players across different eras. The system has since been adapted for football.

With those numbers, we can look at where Favre stands in the grand scheme of things. We know that Favre was the ultimate stat collector but how good was he really from season to season?


At his very best in Green Bay, which was probably the 1996 season (325-for-543, 3,899 passing yards, 39 TDs, 13 INTs), Mike Holmgrens West Coast offense left Favre a bit short in raw stats, but very high in efficiency. That was the only season Favre won a Super Bowl and the only time he finished first overall in Football Outsiders cumulative efficiency metrics. What stands out in Favres numbers during this period is the consistency the two closest comparisons to his 1996 season among any NFL quarterback are his 1997 (304-for-513; 3,867 passing yards; 35 TDs; 16 INTs) and 1998 (347-for-551, 4,212, 31 TDs, 23 INTs) seasons. After that, the similarities run to a mixed bag of fluke seasons by average quarterbacks (2004 Aaron Brooks, 1990 Jim Everett, 2002 Kerry Collins(notes)) and less-than-best campaigns by the cream of the crop (2004-2006 Tom Brady(notes), 1989 Dan Marino, 1988 Jim Kelly).

How did he do in the declining years of a quarterback, which is generally pegged around the mid-to-late 30s?

We can bring in his last season with the Packers, the 2007 season (356-535, 4,155, 28 TDs and 15 INTs) in which he was as efficient as any quarterback in the league. Other similar seasons were Favre in 2009 and Peyton Manning in 2008 and 2009. In 2007, Favre reaped the benefits of an improving offensive line and a lot of talented young players, as opposed to his one season with the Jets, where injury, personnel, and coaching issues led to disappointing results. In that season in New York (343-522, 3,472, 22 TDs, 22 INTs), his closet competitors were himself five times, and Warren Moon of 1995. Even though Favre underperformed to previous standards as a Jet, the fact that he was still playing at an above league average level with his fortieth birthday just around the corner defied all available comparison to anybody but himself.


This may be the most impressive aspect of his on-field legacy: Favre is the best old quarterback in NFL history, and it isnt even close. The 2009 season he put up at age 40 (363-531, 4,202, 33 TDs and 7 INTs) was unprecedented; the closest similarity from an age perspective (over 35) is the Favre at age 39 and 38. Two other over-35 quarterbacks come closest from the production side the 37-year-old Rich Gannon in 2002 (418-618, 4,689, 26 TDs and 10 INTs), and the 38-year-old Kurt Warner(notes) in 2009 (339-513, 3,753, 26 TDs and 14 INTs). And to put that season from a 40-year-old in line with any other quarterback season, the closest overall similarities to Favres 2009 come from Peyton Manning in 2008 and 2009, and Trent Green(notes) in 2005.

The unique consistency of Favres better years comes in the overall one-, two-, and three-year sim scores for his entire career. His closest peer was himself. Favres numbers werent always the most eye-popping, but his historical per-season value was legitimate, especially when he went forward at ages when most great quarterbacks are furthering broadcasting careers.


Favres career will be remembered a lot like his life heroic and exciting, but flawed and sometimes inexplicable boneheaded. But make no mistake, even though his final season was a disaster for a host of reasons, Favre isnt just a guy who hung around too long. He was great in the NFL longer than anyone else has been, and elite far longer than anyone ever has a right to expect. It may take awhile for all the ancillary drama to fade and reveal the magnitude of that accomplishment, but in the end, its both the length and breadth of his career that make Brett Favre such an intriguing individual.


Love him or hate him, well never see his like again.
Rss Feed 
Users browsing this topic
Guest
Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Notification

Icon
Error


Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (9h) : . Aaron Rodgers has a completion percentage of 33.3 on 10+ air yard passes this season (tied for the lowest in NFL).
Zero2Cool (27-Sep) : High-ankle sprain could sideline Cook
Zero2Cool (26-Sep) : Odell Beckham Jr, Dez Bryant, Alshon Jeffery and Julio Jones on tap for Packers. Yippie.
Cheesey (26-Sep) : Arnold Palmer was a class act all around. RIP
Smokey (26-Sep) : Rest in Peace Arnold Palmer, you blessed us all .
hardrocker950 (26-Sep) : What a strange weekend of football
jdlax (26-Sep) : What's up, friends? It's like bizzaro world right now trailing the Vikings. Blah.
GoPack1984 (25-Sep) : Ryan Fitzpatrick threw 6 interceptions!
TheKanataThrilla (25-Sep) : Cleveland loses.
The_Green_Ninja (25-Sep) : I swear, Jacksonville's hot weather must be a huge advantage. Kept it super close with the Ravens
TheKanataThrilla (25-Sep) : Su'a Cravens with a big INT. A guy I wanted.
TheKanataThrilla (25-Sep) : Can Cleveland win?
Zero2Cool (25-Sep) : T.J. Lang said after one of Aaron Rodgers' TD passes the Packers quarterback head-butted Lang in excitement and said "I'm back."
Zero2Cool (25-Sep) : Terrelle Pryor could see snaps at quarterback
Zero2Cool (25-Sep) : inactives 6 Callahan 37 Shields 42 Burnett 52 Matthews 68 Murphy 95 Jones 98 Guion
Mucky Tundra (25-Sep) : GET HYPE
Zero2Cool (25-Sep) : Packers aim to showcase speed of Ty Montgomery, Trevor Davis
Zero2Cool (25-Sep) : CB Quinten Rollins will start for Shields. Micah Hyde for Burnett. Julius Peppers for Matthews. Kenny Clark for Guion.
Tezzy (25-Sep) : Probably will not be on the top of the Pick'Em leaderboard after today, soaking it in beforehand
Tezzy (25-Sep) : Foosball!
yooperfan (25-Sep) : Game day, tee it up and get this show on the road!
dyeah_gb (25-Sep) : Dyeah! Go Pack!
buckeyepackfan (25-Sep) : GOOD MORNING PACKER FANS! GAMEDAY! GO! PACK! GO!
flep (25-Sep) : Gameday!!! Will see you all in chat later
The_Green_Ninja (25-Sep) : Also, I'm not sure if you guys know. I'm a Memphis Tigers fan. Start looking a Riley Ferguson, QB. He is the real deal.
The_Green_Ninja (24-Sep) : Big whoop, we have Aaron. We are going to win. H8ers.
Zero2Cool (24-Sep) : Matthews, Burnett out; Guion, Jones doubtful
Zero2Cool (24-Sep) : thank ya
macbob (23-Sep) : HAPPY BIRTHDAY, KEVIN (yesterday...sigh...)
Zero2Cool (23-Sep) : Sam Shields has already been ruled out for Sunday's game.
Zero2Cool (23-Sep) : For Lions, Ansah is out. LBs Levy and Williams doubtful and Van Noy questionable. TE Ebron and DE Taylor questionable, too.
Zero2Cool (23-Sep) : Jimmy G sprained his AC joint
Mucky Tundra (23-Sep) : Brady is suspended and 2nd stringer Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a ACL sprain in week 2
Mucky Tundra (23-Sep) : Patriots 3rd stringer QB Jacoby Brissett injuried and needs surgery
Zero2Cool (23-Sep) : Quinten Rollins is the only NFL cornerback to play 20 or more snaps in the slot this year without allowing a catch
Please sign in to use Fan Shout

Road To Super Bowl LI
Sunday, Sep 11 @ 12:00 PM
at Jaguars
Sunday, Sep 18 @ 7:30 PM
at Vikings
Sunday, Sep 25 @ 12:00 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Oct 2 @ 12:00 AM
BYE
Sunday, Oct 9 @ 7:30 PM
GIANTS
Sunday, Oct 16 @ 3:25 PM
COWBOYS
Thursday, Oct 20 @ 7:25 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Oct 30 @ 12:00 PM
at Falcons
Sunday, Nov 6 @ 3:25 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Nov 13 @ 12:00 PM
at Titans
Sunday, Nov 20 @ 7:30 PM
at Redskins
Monday, Nov 28 @ 7:30 PM
at Eagles
Sunday, Dec 4 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Dec 11 @ 3:25 PM
SEAHAWKS
Sunday, Dec 18 @ 12:00 PM
at Bears
Saturday, Dec 24 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Jan 1 @ 12:00 PM
at Lions

Think About It
Think About It

Recent Topics
3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / DoddPower

3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / DoddPower

4h / Green Bay Packers Talk / luigis

5h / Green Bay Packers Talk / musccy

5h / Green Bay Packers Talk / sschind

5h / Green Bay Packers Talk / The_Green_Ninja

9h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Cheesey

16h / Green Bay Packers Talk / nerdmann

22h / Green Bay Packers Talk / DarkaneRules

26-Sep / Green Bay Packers Talk / Cheesey

26-Sep / Around The NFL / Cheesey

26-Sep / Green Bay Packers Talk / Porforis

26-Sep / Green Bay Packers Talk / jdlax

25-Sep / Green Bay Packers Talk / nerdmann

25-Sep / GameDay Threads / TheKanataThrilla


Packers Headlines