I guess I will start the thread again, rather the Boss do it, but we are onto the Divisional Playoffs and Kev can use his executive powers if he wishes later.
A couple assumptions I will make.. I think we will be able to move the ball offensively, might not score a ton but I think we can score enough to win this game if we don't allow more than ~ 24.
With that said, I broke down the 49ers offense looking for trends.. things the might clue us to what the typically do and what we can take advantage of.
Here are a couple of points that stick out to me:
(see linked PDF for stats)1. The Niners put the ball on the turf a ton. 26 times they put the ball on the turf. 1.625 times a game on average. So try and exploit that.. Woodson and company try and pop that ball loose.
2. The Niners give up enough sacks as well.. 2.5625 per game. I hope we continue that trend and apply pressure.
3. Smith and Kaepernick's numbers are much of a wash.. but Colin seems to use the overall field better. Smith favored throwing to the right.. Colin is more balanced. This will apply more pressure across the defense.
4. The run game for the Niners has become less and less effective towards the end of the season.. only twice in their last 8 games have they hit the season average per carry. All CK starts.
5. The Niners want to run left on average, but against us they went opposite.. Walden/Moses and Pickett have to play their game. When the Niners run for more than 5 yards per carry, they score 28.5 points on average.. when not.. 21.8.
6. The Niners are inverted to the current norm in terms of play selection.. they run 53% of the time.
7. One other thing not on the stats.. The Niners are struggling in the field goal department almost as bad as we are. I think this is in our favor as I have more confidence in the Packers scoring TD's than the Niners.
Edited by user Monday, January 7, 2013 1:54:37 PM(UTC)
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