Discussion Board
Welcome Guest! You can login or register. Login or Register.
2 Pages<12

Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
IronMan  
#21 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 1:30:27 AM(UTC)
I'm in!
Nonstopdrivel  
#22 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 7:13:08 PM(UTC)
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.
Zero2Cool  
#23 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 8:05:30 PM(UTC)
Wow, nearly 20 ... keep'em coming ... pussies. :)
TheEngineer  
#24 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 12:11:19 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!
djcubez  
#25 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:23:12 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
" said: Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!

Yea, no reason for underdog picks in the first week, nobody really knows what's up.
Nonstopdrivel  
#26 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:52:20 AM(UTC)
Last year I read an article (it might have been Gregg Easterbrook's "Tuesday Morning Quarterback" -- I can't remember) in which it was stated that over the course of the entire season, the following simple system has beaten the picks of virtually every pundit out there. For every game:

1) Pick the team with the better record.

2) In case of a tie, pick the home team.

Sounds oversimplified, and it is, but the beauty of it is it plays the odds, doesn't overthink the nuances, and doesn't jump on bandwagons.

Obviously, this isn't an optimal strategy for week 1, when you have no prior information, but its success improves dramatically as the season progresses.

If I remember correctly, no pundit in the past few years has exceeded a 70% correct pick rate, and I don't think many get above 60%. Some of the most famous score an abysmal 25% or less! The strategy above is rarely beat by more than one nationally known pundit.
Nonstopdrivel  
#27 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 1:47:46 AM(UTC)
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?
djcubez  
#28 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 5:49:49 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?

My roommate is in a $50 pool every week with his family and he got it this week with his Denver over Cincinatti pick. I was actually close to picking San Francisco over Arizona just because I thought Mike Singletary is really changing the culture over there. I didn't do it though :/
Rockmolder  
#29 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 6:41:18 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?


I went Cinci over Denver. So did the Ninja and beingBOILEDhurts (Forgot who you are).

The one pick that everyone got wrong was, like you said, 49ers over Arizona. Shouldn't have taken that gamble on Miami, though. They got their ass handed to them by the Falcons.

Don't know if you found it, but you can see everyone's previous picks here.

http://football.fantasys.../22111/grouppicks?week=1
Zero2Cool  
#30 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 9:50:06 AM(UTC)
DOMINATION!!
Packers_Finland  
#31 Posted : Wednesday, September 23, 2009 7:59:25 AM(UTC)
A make or break week coming up. I'm predicting a lot of upsets, I hope it pays off (though it likely won't).
Rockmolder  
#32 Posted : Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:12:48 PM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
A make or break week coming up. I'm predicting a lot of upsets, I hope it pays off (though it likely won't).


10 out of 16 incorrect. Ouch.

So, Green Bay or Minnesota, people?
Nonstopdrivel  
#33 Posted : Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:27:51 PM(UTC)
My algorithm forces me to pick Minnesota, sadly. Better record AND at home.
Nonstopdrivel  
#34 Posted : Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:42:01 PM(UTC)
My current record in the Pick'em league is 33-15 (.688), 4 points behind the league leader Rockmolder and a mere 1 point ahead of MassPackerFan's Random Guesses.

I'd like to know what THAT says about the state of the NFL these days. ;)
Packers_Finland  
#35 Posted : Sunday, October 4, 2009 11:53:30 AM(UTC)
I was right up there in at the top of the board until last week, which went as bad as possible. 6-10. What the fuck?

I'm predicting Green Bay this week.
MassPackersFan  
#36 Posted : Monday, January 4, 2010 5:57:33 PM(UTC)
Woot woot
TheEngineer  
#37 Posted : Tuesday, January 5, 2010 1:43:29 AM(UTC)
Congrats MassPackersFan. Lost by 3 points after missing an entire week (week 10) :(
Rss Feed
Users browsing this topic
Guest (2)
2 Pages<12
Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Notification

Icon
Error

Fan Shout
gbguy20 (9m) : which packers sat during the anthem?
Porforis (10h) : Noooo, not Goode!
Zero2Cool (14h) : The #Packers place Brett Goode on IR and re-sign LS Taybor Pepper
Zero2Cool (14h) : Packers signing Ulrick John to active roster off Cardinals practice squad today, according to a source
Porforis (14h) : Agreed. HOW ABOUT THEM PACKERS?!
greengold (14h) : i.e. keep politics out of football!
greengold (14h) : Let the players who want to honor the flag along with the vast majority of fans do so. Don't celebrate those who don't.
greengold (14h) : Rule, practice, suggestion? Whatever supposedly changed in 2009. Go back to the way it was. Let the players who want to honor the flag an
Zero2Cool (14h) : Roethlisberger regrets Steelers' decision to skip anthem
Zero2Cool (14h) : Chmura: "#Packers by 10-14. The Bears already played their good game. I have absolutely no fear for Thursday's game."
Zero2Cool (14h) : The NFL Rulebook does not mention the anthem.
Zero2Cool (14h) : There is no rule.
greengold (15h) : The NFL needs to enforce the rule or get rid of the rule.
greengold (15h) : Players stood for the National Anthem long before 2009. There just was no *rule* requiring them to stand.
steveishere (15h) : How many fans are in the restroom taking a dump or in line for nachos during anthem. Same people probably mad at players
Porforis (16h) : Yup.
Zero2Cool (16h) : You know why
Porforis (17h) : NFL players weren't even on the field for the anthem until 2009 - Why all of a sudden is not participating such a big deal?
Zero2Cool (17h) : Former Seahawks/Packers HC Mike Holmgren on President Trump: “He’s uninformed”.
steveishere (18h) : Funny how you were apparently fine with seeing guys who abuse women or do/sell drugs out there but god forbid they kneel lol
steveishere (18h) : you had 1 foot out the door since Favre left anyways... bye
dhazer (19h) : well so much for watching Packer games, I saw the 3 sitting on the bench and i turned the channel to the race, No more NFL games for me
beast (25-Sep) : Who are the longshots? Jags? Saints? Redskins? and who?
SINCITYCHEEZE (25-Sep) : Buckeye closing in on 4 Longshots in Pickem today....Son you need to hook me up we could make a killing on some parlays next weekend. Lol
beast (25-Sep) : Bears ran it 60% of the time...
beast (24-Sep) : Bears tried hard to give it away, but Steelers couldn't take it
Mucky Tundra (24-Sep) : Lot of injuries :(
Zero2Cool (24-Sep) : OUT for the Packers: WR Randall Cobb S Kentrell Brice CB Davon House LB Jake Ryan LB Nick Perry T David Bakhtiari DT Mike Daniels
beast (24-Sep) : Ravens/Jags must be a FF nightmare, as ol' TEs who never score, had 4 of the 6 TDs
beast (24-Sep) : Bears beating Steelers at halftime.
beast (24-Sep) : https://sports.vice.com/en_us/article/yp89dj/stephen-a-smith-points-out-nfls-paid-patriotism-problem
beast (24-Sep) : I just read that it wasn't until the NFL started getting paid by the DoD (in 2009), that players were on the sidelines for the Anthem. (I ca
Zero2Cool (24-Sep) : apparently it was comon to stay in lockeroom years ago
Zero2Cool (24-Sep) : i couldn't find anything confirming its against the rules
beast (24-Sep) : Is it against the rules to be in the lockerroom for the Anthem?
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2017 Packers Schedule
Sunday, Sep 10 @ 3:25 PM
SEAHAWKS
Sunday, Sep 17 @ 7:30 PM
at Falcons
Sunday, Sep 24 @ 3:25 PM
BENGALS
Thursday, Sep 28 @ 7:25 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Oct 8 @ 3:25 PM
at Cowboys
Sunday, Oct 15 @ 12:00 PM
at Vikings
Sunday, Oct 22 @ 12:00 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Oct 29 @ 12:00 AM
- BYE -
Monday, Nov 6 @ 7:30 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 12 @ 12:00 PM
at Bears
Sunday, Nov 19 @ 12:00 PM
RAVENS
Sunday, Nov 26 @ 7:30 PM
at Steelers
Sunday, Dec 3 @ 12:00 PM
BUCCANEERS
Sunday, Dec 10 @ 12:00 PM
at Browns
Sunday, Dec 17 @ 12:00 PM
at Panthers
Saturday, Dec 23 @ 7:30 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Dec 31 @ 12:00 PM
at Lions
Think About It
Think About It
Recent Topics
3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Smokey

5h / Around The NFL / Smokey

6h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

7h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

7h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

7h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Porforis

7h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

8h / Green Bay Packers Talk / nerdmann

8h / Around The NFL / Barfarn

14h / Green Bay Packers Talk / sschind

15h / Green Bay Packers Talk / nerdmann

15h / Green Bay Packers Talk / nerdmann

17h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

25-Sep / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

24-Sep / Green Bay Packers Talk / nerdmann

Headlines