Discussion Board
Welcome Guest! You can login or register. Login or Register.
2 Pages<12

Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
IronMan  
#21 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 1:30:27 AM(UTC)
I'm in!
Nonstopdrivel  
#22 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 7:13:08 PM(UTC)
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.
Zero2Cool  
#23 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 8:05:30 PM(UTC)
Wow, nearly 20 ... keep'em coming ... pussies. :)
TheEngineer  
#24 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 12:11:19 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!
djcubez  
#25 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:23:12 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
" said: Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!

Yea, no reason for underdog picks in the first week, nobody really knows what's up.
Nonstopdrivel  
#26 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:52:20 AM(UTC)
Last year I read an article (it might have been Gregg Easterbrook's "Tuesday Morning Quarterback" -- I can't remember) in which it was stated that over the course of the entire season, the following simple system has beaten the picks of virtually every pundit out there. For every game:

1) Pick the team with the better record.

2) In case of a tie, pick the home team.

Sounds oversimplified, and it is, but the beauty of it is it plays the odds, doesn't overthink the nuances, and doesn't jump on bandwagons.

Obviously, this isn't an optimal strategy for week 1, when you have no prior information, but its success improves dramatically as the season progresses.

If I remember correctly, no pundit in the past few years has exceeded a 70% correct pick rate, and I don't think many get above 60%. Some of the most famous score an abysmal 25% or less! The strategy above is rarely beat by more than one nationally known pundit.
Nonstopdrivel  
#27 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 1:47:46 AM(UTC)
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?
djcubez  
#28 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 5:49:49 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?

My roommate is in a $50 pool every week with his family and he got it this week with his Denver over Cincinatti pick. I was actually close to picking San Francisco over Arizona just because I thought Mike Singletary is really changing the culture over there. I didn't do it though :/
Rockmolder  
#29 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 6:41:18 AM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?


I went Cinci over Denver. So did the Ninja and beingBOILEDhurts (Forgot who you are).

The one pick that everyone got wrong was, like you said, 49ers over Arizona. Shouldn't have taken that gamble on Miami, though. They got their ass handed to them by the Falcons.

Don't know if you found it, but you can see everyone's previous picks here.

http://football.fantasys.../22111/grouppicks?week=1
Zero2Cool  
#30 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 9:50:06 AM(UTC)
DOMINATION!!
Packers_Finland  
#31 Posted : Wednesday, September 23, 2009 7:59:25 AM(UTC)
A make or break week coming up. I'm predicting a lot of upsets, I hope it pays off (though it likely won't).
Rockmolder  
#32 Posted : Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:12:48 PM(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
A make or break week coming up. I'm predicting a lot of upsets, I hope it pays off (though it likely won't).


10 out of 16 incorrect. Ouch.

So, Green Bay or Minnesota, people?
Nonstopdrivel  
#33 Posted : Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:27:51 PM(UTC)
My algorithm forces me to pick Minnesota, sadly. Better record AND at home.
Nonstopdrivel  
#34 Posted : Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:42:01 PM(UTC)
My current record in the Pick'em league is 33-15 (.688), 4 points behind the league leader Rockmolder and a mere 1 point ahead of MassPackerFan's Random Guesses.

I'd like to know what THAT says about the state of the NFL these days. ;)
Packers_Finland  
#35 Posted : Sunday, October 4, 2009 11:53:30 AM(UTC)
I was right up there in at the top of the board until last week, which went as bad as possible. 6-10. What the fuck?

I'm predicting Green Bay this week.
MassPackersFan  
#36 Posted : Monday, January 4, 2010 5:57:33 PM(UTC)
Woot woot
TheEngineer  
#37 Posted : Tuesday, January 5, 2010 1:43:29 AM(UTC)
Congrats MassPackersFan. Lost by 3 points after missing an entire week (week 10) :(
Rss Feed
Users browsing this topic
Guest
2 Pages<12
Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Notification

Icon
Error

Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (30m) : @Chiefs We have signed free agent cornerback Darrelle Revis.
Zero2Cool (2h) : Lions sign DT Christian Ringo to the 53-man roster from the practice squad, takes Khyri Thornton's spot
Smokey (23h) : Don't look back, I'm gaining beast ! LOL
beast (21-Nov) : Thanks Smokey!
Zero2Cool (21-Nov) : I'm not confident vs Steelers. But they are up/down a lot.
dhazer (21-Nov) : I actually had a Steeler fan ask me why the stadium was still packed at the end of the game on Sunday. I said we back our team no matter wha
dhazer (21-Nov) : Kevin we will beat that this week lol
Zero2Cool (21-Nov) : Cowboys have one touchdown in 2 games. One TD in 22 possessions. One
Smokey (21-Nov) : Nice Week 11 Pick'em beast , salute !
hardrocker950 (21-Nov) : No late game heroics for Seattle tonight
yinzer (21-Nov) : You can do much worse than having the Steelers as your favorite team... that being said, Go Steelers!
uffda udfa (21-Nov) : Gilbert is/was their starting RT.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Steelers OT Marcus Gilbert suspended four games for violating performance-enhancing substance policy.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : and my 1st favorite team.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Packers are my 2nd favorite team.
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : Are Steelers your 2nd favorite team? I know you live the Pens and are from there.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Steelers are league-best 4-1 vs. teams who currently have a winning record.
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : Kenny Clark x-rays were negative. Says he's fine.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : "I believe in Brett Hundley," McCarthy conclude. Quick, check coach for concussion!
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : RB Aaron Jones was arrested in October for marijuana, driving without a license, and speeding.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : NFL Receiver Terry Glenn Has Died in a Car Accident
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : @BenFennell_NFL Not to be overlooked...
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Packers run defense lately has been outstanding Since Nov 1 (3 games)... 59.0 YPG (3rd in NFL) and 2.33 YPC (2nd in NFL)
beast (20-Nov) : See you are troll, your true colors are showing
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : Charles Manson dead at 83.
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : At least Cleveland was the road team when Baltimore shut them out.
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : We shouldn't feel bad about being shutout by BAL. CLE was shutout by them, too.
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : Davante was a huge surprise. Ravens are tough to throw it on.
beast (20-Nov) : I don't know... Mays and Spriggs did a good job of looking offensive too!
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Only offensive player to come out looking good is Davante Adams.
uffda udfa (20-Nov) : He ain't changing from Hundley. Trying way too hard to prove it was right to go with him all along.
greengold (19-Nov) : A HC would say that today even if he planned to start Callahan next week.
Nonstopdrivel (19-Nov) : Yeah, well, there are plenty of people who believe in fairies and leprechauns too.
uffda udfa (19-Nov) : MM sticking with Hundley. Said he believes in him.
TheKanataThrilla (19-Nov) : Hayward with another INT 2nd of the day
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2017 Packers Schedule
Sunday, Sep 10 @ 3:25 PM
SEAHAWKS
Sunday, Sep 17 @ 7:30 PM
at Falcons
Sunday, Sep 24 @ 3:25 PM
BENGALS
Thursday, Sep 28 @ 7:25 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Oct 8 @ 3:25 PM
at Cowboys
Sunday, Oct 15 @ 12:00 PM
at Vikings
Sunday, Oct 22 @ 12:00 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Oct 29 @ 12:00 AM
- BYE -
Monday, Nov 6 @ 7:30 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 12 @ 12:00 PM
at Bears
Sunday, Nov 19 @ 12:00 PM
RAVENS
Sunday, Nov 26 @ 7:30 PM
at Steelers
Sunday, Dec 3 @ 12:00 PM
BUCCANEERS
Sunday, Dec 10 @ 12:00 PM
at Browns
Sunday, Dec 17 @ 12:00 PM
at Panthers
Saturday, Dec 23 @ 7:30 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Dec 31 @ 12:00 PM
at Lions
Think About It
Think About It
Recent Topics
4m / Green Bay Packers Talk / buckeyepackfan

5m / Green Bay Packers Talk / sschind

7m / Green Bay Packers Talk / yooperfan

9m / Green Bay Packers Talk / sschind

13m / Green Bay Packers Talk / sschind

23m / Green Bay Packers Talk / yooperfan

1h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

7h / Green Bay Packers Talk / buckeyepackfan

19h / Green Bay Packers Talk / uffda udfa

20h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

21h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

21h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

21-Nov / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

21-Nov / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

21-Nov / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

Headlines