Green Bay Packers Forum

Welcome to your Green Bay Packers Online Community!

Since 2006, PackersHome has been providing a unique experience for fans.
Your participation is greatly anticipated!
Login or Register.
4 Pages<1234>
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline IronMan  
#21 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 1:30:27 AM(UTC)
Rank: Veteran Member

ESPN NCAA March Madness - Gold: 2010

Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC)
Applause Given: 161
Applause Received: 138
I'm in!
Offline Nonstopdrivel  
#22 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 7:13:08 PM(UTC)
Rank: Select Member

United States
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Location: Stratford, New Jersey
Applause Given: 406
Applause Received: 344
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.
Offline Zero2Cool  
#23 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 8:05:30 PM(UTC)
Rank: Premier Member

Yahoo! NCAA March Madness - Gold: 2015Yahoo! Fantasy Football - Gold: 2009FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Silver: 2010Yahoo! NCAA March Madness - Silver: 2011FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Bronze: 2016ESPN NCAA March Madness - Bronze: 2010Yahoo! NCAA March Madness - Bronze: 2013

United States
Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC)
Location: Green Bay, WI
Applause Given: 2,496
Applause Received: 4,032
Wow, nearly 20 ... keep'em coming ... pussies. :)
Offline TheEngineer  
#24 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 12:11:19 AM(UTC)
Rank: Registered

Joined: 8/8/2008(UTC)
" said: Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!
Offline djcubez  
#25 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:23:12 AM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member

FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Gold: 2014

Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC)
Location: Madison
Applause Given: 11
Applause Received: 17
" said: Go to Quoted Post
" said: Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!

Yea, no reason for underdog picks in the first week, nobody really knows what's up.
Offline Nonstopdrivel  
#26 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:52:20 AM(UTC)
Rank: Select Member

United States
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Location: Stratford, New Jersey
Applause Given: 406
Applause Received: 344
Last year I read an article (it might have been Gregg Easterbrook's "Tuesday Morning Quarterback" -- I can't remember) in which it was stated that over the course of the entire season, the following simple system has beaten the picks of virtually every pundit out there. For every game:

1) Pick the team with the better record.

2) In case of a tie, pick the home team.

Sounds oversimplified, and it is, but the beauty of it is it plays the odds, doesn't overthink the nuances, and doesn't jump on bandwagons.

Obviously, this isn't an optimal strategy for week 1, when you have no prior information, but its success improves dramatically as the season progresses.

If I remember correctly, no pundit in the past few years has exceeded a 70% correct pick rate, and I don't think many get above 60%. Some of the most famous score an abysmal 25% or less! The strategy above is rarely beat by more than one nationally known pundit.
Offline Nonstopdrivel  
#27 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 1:47:46 AM(UTC)
Rank: Select Member

United States
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Location: Stratford, New Jersey
Applause Given: 406
Applause Received: 344
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?
Offline djcubez  
#28 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 5:49:49 AM(UTC)
Rank: Senior Member

FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Gold: 2014

Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC)
Location: Madison
Applause Given: 11
Applause Received: 17
" said: Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?

My roommate is in a $50 pool every week with his family and he got it this week with his Denver over Cincinatti pick. I was actually close to picking San Francisco over Arizona just because I thought Mike Singletary is really changing the culture over there. I didn't do it though :/
Offline Rockmolder  
#29 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 6:41:18 AM(UTC)
Rank: Veteran Member

FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Bronze: 2010

Netherlands
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Applause Given: 245
Applause Received: 384
" said: Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?


I went Cinci over Denver. So did the Ninja and beingBOILEDhurts (Forgot who you are).

The one pick that everyone got wrong was, like you said, 49ers over Arizona. Shouldn't have taken that gamble on Miami, though. They got their ass handed to them by the Falcons.

Don't know if you found it, but you can see everyone's previous picks here.

http://football.fantasys.../22111/grouppicks?week=1
Offline Zero2Cool  
#30 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 9:50:06 AM(UTC)
Rank: Premier Member

Yahoo! NCAA March Madness - Gold: 2015Yahoo! Fantasy Football - Gold: 2009FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Silver: 2010Yahoo! NCAA March Madness - Silver: 2011FleaFlicker Fantasy Football - Bronze: 2016ESPN NCAA March Madness - Bronze: 2010Yahoo! NCAA March Madness - Bronze: 2013

United States
Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC)
Location: Green Bay, WI
Applause Given: 2,496
Applause Received: 4,032
DOMINATION!!
Rss Feed 
Users browsing this topic
Guest
4 Pages<1234>
Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Notification

Icon
Error


Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (2h) : from Rob Reischel @robreischel
Zero2Cool (2h) : Rodgers has played in 2 NFC Championship games. QB ratings were 56.7 and 55.9. That's won't cut it Sunday
Porforis (2h) : Have to fill the 24/7 news cycle with something.
Smokey (3h) : True, Zero
Zero2Cool (3h) : Rodgers didn't draw it up, it was selected from options. Duh.
uffda udfa (5h) : Zeke Elliott tired of domestic violence investigation. NFL moving forward now.
Smokey (10h) : Did u fire up the crock pot ?
Smokey (10h) : Jolly good show ole chap ! LOL
Cheesey (10h) : Smokey! Darn spell check! LOL!
Cheesey (10h) : Hey smiley! Just saw your shout out! How bout them Packers!
Smokey (11h) : Hello Cheesey !
GoPack1984 (14h) : I hope not. Please be something like 41-28 Packers.
uffda udfa (14h) : I agree with Chmura. This looks like a double 40 burger.
uffda udfa (14h) : The hug on the sidelines?
uffda udfa (14h) : What seemed so emotional?
Zero2Cool (14h) : No, but I am curious why that seemed so emotional. I might be reading into it too much.
uffda udfa (14h) : Anyone ever get confused looking at Alex Van Pelt thinking it's MM?
uffda udfa (16h) : I hope they aren't going to dial it down believing in destiny .
Zero2Cool (17h) : Jason Wilde: Packers "feel like a team of destiny"
uffda udfa (19h) : They'll need all the Julio Joneses they can get.
Zero2Cool (19h) : Chmura: "I'll tell you this: Atlanta's going to score 40 points. They are. The #Packers are going to have to score 41."
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : Damn-Falcons coach Dan Quinn tells reporters that WR Julio Jones (foot) will be limited this week but will be “ready to rock” on Sunday.
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : Packers defense has a red zone INT in each of the last 3 games... Hyde with two of them. (One being the clutch 4thQ INT vs DET in Week 17)
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : Randall Cobb, Damarious Randall, Quentin Rollins, James Starks, Clay Matthews, Ty Montgomery & Jared Cook. OUT
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : Packers inactive list when they lost 33-32 to the Falcons week 8.
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : There is no emphasis, it's just a little bit of info. Take it or leave it. No harm.
Smokey (16-Jan) : Zero, I believe that you and some others place too much emphasis upon data. no harm intended.
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : It’s the 1st time since 1970 all 4 conference championship teams finished the regular season on winning streaks of 4+ games
TheKanataThrilla (16-Jan) : Salt mine. Love it.
TheKanataThrilla (16-Jan) : The refs kept that game close. We should have blown them out early.
DarkaneRules (16-Jan) : Hyde and Gunter are special and I'm hopeful D Ran gets back to where he can be
mi_keys (16-Jan) : That whole forum is a salt mine. It's beautiful.
Zero2Cool (16-Jan) : Burnett's back up, Kentrell Brice lead team in tackles.
uffda udfa (16-Jan) : Hilarious reading below. I like Carter. Only guy who gets it.
uffda udfa (16-Jan) : http://boards.dallascowboys.com/topic/71647-so-we-are-supposed-to-believe/#entry3978081
Please sign in to use Fan Shout

2016 Packers Schedule
Sunday, Sep 11 @ 12:00 PM
at Jaguars
Sunday, Sep 18 @ 7:30 PM
at Vikings
Sunday, Sep 25 @ 12:00 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Oct 2 @ 12:00 AM
BYE
Sunday, Oct 9 @ 7:30 PM
GIANTS
Sunday, Oct 16 @ 3:25 PM
COWBOYS
Thursday, Oct 20 @ 7:25 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Oct 30 @ 3:25 PM
at Falcons
Sunday, Nov 6 @ 3:25 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Nov 13 @ 12:00 PM
at Titans
Sunday, Nov 20 @ 7:30 PM
at Redskins
Monday, Nov 28 @ 7:30 PM
at Eagles
Sunday, Dec 4 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Dec 11 @ 3:25 PM
SEAHAWKS
Sunday, Dec 18 @ 12:00 PM
at Bears
Saturday, Dec 24 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Jan 1 @ 7:30 PM
at Lions

Think About It
Think About It

Recent Topics
11m / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

1h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Porforis

2h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

2h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

2h / Green Bay Packers Talk / musccy

3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Smokey

3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

14h / Green Bay Packers Talk / PackFanWithTwins

14h / Fantasy Sports Talk / rabidgopher04

15h / Green Bay Packers Talk / uffda udfa

16h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Rick12

17h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Rick12

18h / Green Bay Packers Talk / uffda udfa

18h / Green Bay Packers Talk / PackFanWithTwins


Packers Headlines