Pack93z
  • Pack93z
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14 years ago
So I wanted to see if there was a static correlation between picks and wins.. here is a list of a sample of 20 current and ALL Time Great QB's and a select number of stats..

So can one say that INT % is directly related to Winning % for an individual QB?

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"The oranges are dry; the apples are mealy; and the papayas... I don't know what's going on with the papayas!"
zombieslayer
14 years ago
Pack - Another thing to point out. Let's take QB and SB wins.

Note that Bradshaw had 4 SB rings, which is more than anybody except for Montana. Take a look at Bradshaw's INT %. Ironically, it is the highest on the entire list.

Who's the guy with the lowest INT % of all? McNabb. And how many SB rings does he have?
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Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
Pack93z, what is the R^2 value for the correlation you mentioned? I'm going to guess it's somewhere around .85.
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Pack93z
  • Pack93z
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14 years ago

Pack93z, what is the R^2 value for the correlation you mentioned? I'm going to guess it's somewhere around .85.

"Nonstopdrivel" wrote:



Come now.. why ruin a football conversation with a sound mathematical theory.

If my math is correct, .81. 😉
"The oranges are dry; the apples are mealy; and the papayas... I don't know what's going on with the papayas!"
Zero2Cool
14 years ago
Eli Manning? WTF!
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Pack93z
  • Pack93z
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14 years ago

Eli Manning? WTF!

"SlickVision" wrote:



LOL... he did win a Superbowl in the current timeframe.. 😉
"The oranges are dry; the apples are mealy; and the papayas... I don't know what's going on with the papayas!"
TheOldMan
14 years ago
Beautiful!

Statistics tell you everything, don't they?
Truth be known, I'm TT's baby!
Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
Wow, my estimate was off by a mere 4 percent! Not bad at all.

In the realm of statistics, a .81 R^2 is considered indicative of a pretty strong correlation, so it's safe to say events like Bradshaw's 4 rings are statistical outliers. I could do a Q test to confirm that hunch, but I'm in the middle of packing for drill, so I'll do that another time.

Either way, the statistics indicate that as a rule, a lower interception percentage is correlated with a higher winning percentage. Makes intuitive sense.
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Rockmolder
14 years ago
It's a great list, but what does it really say. Everyone knows that Bradshaw threw a lot of ints, same goes for Starr, but playing in different era's with different rules has a lot to do with that.

Also, all these guys have one thing in common. They had amazing teams. I mean, Eli Manning? He hasn't done diddly squat on that team. He's the most overrated QB in quite a while. Yet, with the backfield and defense, he can throw around freely while defenses are expecting the run.
Rockmolder
14 years ago
It's a great list, but what does it really say. Everyone knows that Bradshaw threw a lot of ints, same goes for Starr, but playing in different era's with different rules has a lot to do with that.

Also, all these guys have one thing in common. They had amazing teams. I mean, Eli Manning? He hasn't done diddly squat on that team. He's the most overrated QB in quite a while. Yet, with the backfield and defense, he can throw around freely while defenses are expecting the run.
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