How the NFL regular season will end: Projecting scores for the final 32...

wpr
Preferred Member Topic Starter

3 years ago

We used ESPN's Football Power Index's most likely simulation to project Weeks 17 and 18 -- complete with game scores -- to predict how the NFL playoff field will stack up.

Continue Reading @ ESPN

ESPN wrote:

Green Bay wins by 1 in week 17 and the boys lose to AZ. GB locks up HFA for the playoffs. They put Love out there against the Lions in week 18 and lose. I can accept this.

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packerfanoutwest
Member

3 years ago

Green Bay wins by 1 in week 17 and the boys lose to AZ. GB locks up HFA for the playoffs. They put Love out there against the Lions in week 18 and lose. I can accept this.

Originally Posted by: wpr

I can accept this to a point. If Love is the starter and the Packers lose, and does not perform well, and what happens with Rodgers after the season ends...Love could very well be a clip board mechanic till he is traded.

And if AZ beats Dallas.....the boys drop to the #4 seed

beast
Select Member

3 years ago

Thanks almost best case scenario for the Packers, as the Packers lock up the #1 seed.

Lions win out, while the other struggling teams lose out, making the Lions go from having the #2 overall pick to having the #5 overall pick.

Though it would be better if the Vikings beat the Bears, as the Bears don't have their first round pick anyways... also Packers have the Bears 7th round pick, through the Texans... Texans got it when they traded for a WR and Packers got it when they traded CB Hollman away.

But I want someone to knock the Buccaneers out, and any other team with a strong DL really, as Packers are simply getting too thin on the OL right now, and this offense scheme is about keeping the pressure off the QB, and on the RB... but this OL (as it is now, without Bakhtiari and Turner) can't afford any injuries and might need help.

beast
Select Member

3 years ago

I'm nervous for the Vikings game.

Packers have only won
~ 4 of the last 12
~ 3 of the last 9
~ 3 of the last 5
~ 0 of the last 2

Mike Zimmer seems to be better at getting Rodgers head than anyone else. And based on current information, an entire 2nd string OL basically. Missing some players like Cobb and Lewis that we didn't have last time.

Only good news on offense right now is we're getting MVS back in time, but if Tyreek Hill was exhausted after playing less than half their offense snaps and not fully back, MVS might not be 100% back either.

But on defense, we'll have Gary playing, which we were missing him last game and they're #2 WR had ankle surgery and his season is done but they still have a lot of weapons.

wpr
Preferred Member Topic Starter

3 years ago

Originally Posted by: packerfanwayoutwest

I didn't say that I want Love to start week 18. I was quoting the article and said if that happens I would be fine with it. Only because the Packers clinched home field advantage. I don't care about the 2022 ramifications. I am looking at the 2021 playoffs. Personally I think Aaron will play the first half. What Love does for 1/2 a game or even a full game will have no bearing on what he can do next year. It won't even affect Aaron's decision after the season is over. Love was not brought in to push Aaron out as QB1. Love was brought in to raise the floor on QB2. He's done that.

earthquake
Member

3 years ago

If the Packers go into the Lions game with the 1st seed clinched, I think they treat it like a Preseason game. Rodgers and his bum toe won't play. A bunch of other guys with minor injuries will be rested or kept on a snap count too. Normally I might question this - effectively having two weeks off with the risk of coming out rusty for their first playoff game. But with all of the injuries they've had this year, along with the 17th game this season, they need to minimize the risk to the walking wounded that are still playing. Imagine losing another offensive lineman or one of their CBs in a meaningless game. The playoffs & super bowl could come down to which team is healthy & has the fewest key players missing time due to covid.

blank

wpr
Preferred Member Topic Starter

3 years ago

Originally Posted by: earthquake

GB isn't the only team that has come out rusty after a 2 week bye. A few years ago it was Indy that fell flat on their faces. That's why I think the starters will play some of the game. Just enough to keep sharp. You can't play the what if game. Any player can get injured at any time during the season. Bak was injured in practice last year. It happens. It's unavoidable.

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