mi_keys
12 years ago

There is a syntactical ambiguity to my statement, which could be interpreted as saying that it was likely that neither Number 1 seed would make it to the Super Bowl. What I meant to say is that there was an 87 percent chance that the Super Bowl would feature either one or no Number 1 seed. In other words, there was only a 13 percent chance that both top seeds would be in the Super Bowl.

It is very common that a Super Bowl features a Number 1 seed. It is quite rare that it features both Number 1 seeds. That pattern held true this year as well.

Originally Posted by: Nonstopdrivel 



I know what you were saying. I just wanted to point out how likely it has been that one does make it, providing another look at it. The point is if you are not a number one seed, by no means is your season doomed; if you are a number one seed you historically stand a good chance of making it.
Born and bred a cheesehead
Nonstopdrivel
12 years ago
If almost 88 percent of Super Bowls have featured a Number 1 seed, can we say that a Number 1 seed has approximately a 44 percent chance of making the playoffs? Or am I missing something?
UserPostedImage
mi_keys
12 years ago

If almost 88 percent of Super Bowls have featured a Number 1 seed, can we say that a Number 1 seed has approximately a 44 percent chance of making the playoffs? Or am I missing something?

Originally Posted by: Nonstopdrivel 



No, that wouldn't take into account the years in which two were featured. 54.5% of number 1 seeds have made the Super Bowl since 1978.

I should make it clear I did my count hastily so I could have miss-coded a team's seed here or there. That said the percentages should be close even if I have made a mistake.
Born and bred a cheesehead
RainX
12 years ago
Looking at our remaining schedule, and even with our defense as playing as mediocre as it has been, 14-2 and getting HFA is definitely doable. I don't think anyone would deny a big reason the Saints won that game two years ago in the NFC Championship against the Vikings was because of that 12th man they had in the Superdome. I'd frankly want no part of them there on the road if we can avoid it. We were able to go into Atlanta last year admittedly and throttle them, but they didn't have the offense to keep up with us like New Orleans does this year. Looking at the better teams in the NFC right now (SF, NO, NYG, & DET), getting them in Lambeau in January would be a big advantage for us. Kind of crazy to think, despite making the playoffs the last two seasons and winning the Super Bowl, the team hasn't played a home playoff game since 2007.
blank
Fan Shout
packerfanoutwest (8h) : having a great long snapper is gold
Zero2Cool (14h) : LaFleur looking like he had some weight. Coachin will do that lol
Zero2Cool (15h) : Thanks Mucky and whomever created topcos for each pick!
Zero2Cool (15h) : Insane about Kingsley
dfosterf (18h) : Putring it here so Mucky sees it. He was our guy!
dfosterf (18h) : Bowden long snapper Wisconsin. Consensus best LS in college.
dfosterf (18h) : We got Peter Bowde
dfosterf (19h) : I personally interpret that as a partial tear that can be recovered from with rehab
dfosterf (19h) : MLF said Kingsley Enagbare did NOT tear his ACL and did NOT require surgery, and that he is "looking good" for the 2024 season!
beast (28-Apr) : T.O. son signs with the 49ers
Mucky Tundra (28-Apr) : damn those vikings
beast (27-Apr) : UDFA Vikings sign TE – Trey Knox, South Carolina
beast (27-Apr) : Kitchen was all high from Miami, he was more lucky than talented in 2022 and it showed in 2023
beast (27-Apr) : Reportedly Packers have UDFAs Jennings and Jones
beast (27-Apr) : OL – Donovan Jennings, USF OT – Trente Jones, Michigan
TheKanataThrilla (27-Apr) : Interesting draft. A bit shocked that we didn't select an early CB. Definitely have Safety help. Pretty happy overall.
dhazer (27-Apr) : wow the last 2 picks are really stupid and probably will be special teams players Top 10 draft pick next year book it
TheKanataThrilla (27-Apr) : I think he ended up with a terrible RAS score
dhazer (27-Apr) : Anyone know what went on with Kitchens from Florida? At 1 point he was to be the Packers 1st round and he is way down the board now
Martha Careful (27-Apr) : Z, could you please combine my thread with yours please. I obviously did not see it when I Created it
Martha Careful (26-Apr) : Re: 'Kool-Aid' McKinstry. Other than Icky Woods, has there ever been a good NFLer with a childish nickname?
Martha Careful (26-Apr) : Packers looking to trade up
Martha Careful (26-Apr) : Flag?
Martha Careful (26-Apr) : Sag?
Nonstopdrivel (26-Apr) : It rhymes with "bag."
beast (26-Apr) : Family? That's Deadpool's F word
Nonstopdrivel (26-Apr) : Not THAT f-word.
Zero2Cool (26-Apr) : fuck
beast (25-Apr) : 49ers are Cap Tight
beast (25-Apr) : Fuck
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : Kanata, I will be when I'm on my lunch later
TheKanataThrilla (25-Apr) : Love you NSD
Nonstopdrivel (25-Apr) : Huh. I guess the F-word is censored in this fan shout.
Nonstopdrivel (25-Apr) : Anyone who doesn't hang out in the chat probably smokes pole.
TheKanataThrilla (25-Apr) : GoPackGo Thinking CB is the pick tonight
TheKanataThrilla (25-Apr) : Anyone hanging out in the chat tonight?
Zero2Cool (25-Apr) : whoa...49ers have had trade conversations about both Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk
Zero2Cool (25-Apr) : I hope they take a Punter at 9th overall. Be bold!
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : I may end up eating those words but I think they need a lot more talent then their 4 picks can provide
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : I really hope they stand pat and Draft a WR
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : @DMRussini
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : The Chicago Bears are very open for business at 9 and telling teams they are ready to move for the right price, per source
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : Lions extend Penei Soul 4yrs - 112mil
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : Lions extend St. Brown 4 years 120mil and
Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : Now look, trading up to 13 to take a TE might not seem like a good idea later but it will be later!
dfosterf (24-Apr) : (Your trade up mock post)
dfosterf (24-Apr) : Mucky- The only thing fun to watch would be me flipping the f out if Gute goes up to 13 and grabs Brock Bowers, lol
beast (24-Apr) : DT Byron Murphy II, Texas... whom some believe is the next Aaron Donald (or the closest thing to Donald)
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : What? And who?
Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : *sad Mucky noises*
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2023 Packers Schedule
Sunday, Sep 10 @ 3:25 PM
Bears
Sunday, Sep 17 @ 12:00 PM
Falcons
Sunday, Sep 24 @ 12:00 PM
SAINTS
Thursday, Sep 28 @ 7:15 PM
LIONS
Monday, Oct 9 @ 7:15 PM
Raiders
Sunday, Oct 22 @ 3:25 PM
Broncos
Sunday, Oct 29 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Nov 5 @ 12:00 PM
RAMS
Sunday, Nov 12 @ 12:00 PM
Steelers
Sunday, Nov 19 @ 12:00 PM
CHARGERS
Thursday, Nov 23 @ 11:30 AM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 3 @ 7:20 PM
CHIEFS
Monday, Dec 11 @ 7:15 PM
Giants
Sunday, Dec 17 @ 12:00 PM
BUCCANEERS
Sunday, Dec 24 @ 12:00 PM
Panthers
Sunday, Dec 31 @ 7:20 PM
Vikings
Sunday, Jan 7 @ 3:25 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Jan 14 @ 3:30 PM
Cowboys
Saturday, Jan 20 @ 7:15 PM
49ers
Recent Topics
3h / Green Bay Packers Talk / earthquake

5h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

13h / Feedback, Suggestions and Issues / Zero2Cool

13h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

13h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

13h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

13h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

13h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

13h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

14h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

14h / Green Bay Packers Talk / greengold

19h / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

28-Apr / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

27-Apr / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

27-Apr / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

Headlines
Copyright © 2006 - 2024 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.